Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 3

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.75
	2.1	3.7	3.1
	2.08	3.54	2.87
	2.25	3.6	2.62
	2.19	3.75	2.99	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.92)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	2.98 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
43.5%

Draw
25.5%

Deportivo Garcilaso
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.9%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Garcilaso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Binacional: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 16. Villamarin R. 5. Murillo Y. 14. Quina M. 25. Rosell Delgado J. A. 13. Oncoy F. 7. Aubert E. 28. Duran J. 17. Palacios B. 19. Zeta H. 10. Polar A.	1. Penny D. (G) 3. Rambal A. 2. Salazar H. 13. Lojas J. 30. Quevedo K. 25. Paucar E. 28. Dioses D. 7. Gomez A. 27. Bazan J. 32. Giordana S. 11. Betancourt J.
Substitutes
21. Azurin A. (G) 23. Caceres J. 31. Chumpitaz M. 27. Cirilo J. 20. Crespo H. 6. Mifflin L. 18. Nunez O. 29. Santa Maria J. 22. Vizcarra J.	21. Barbieri J. (G) 24. Caraza C. 15. Mendez P. 17. Obeso J. 4. Olaya A. 20. Parodi J. 22. Rodriguez P. 16. Zuniga P.
Coaches
Azconzabal J. M.	Celico J.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Binacional will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Binacional won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
01.07.23	ADT Tarma - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0 ✺
10.06.23	FBC Melgar - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:0 ✺
28.05.23	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	6:1 ✺
22.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Unión Comercio	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
01.07.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
24.06.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Unión Comercio	2:2 ✺
26.05.23	Cantolao - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.02.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional	Deportivo Garcilaso awarded

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