Match Info

LaLiga - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN, Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DAZN
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Real Oviedo		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.9	2.45	Watch
	3.15	2.92	2.58	Watch
	3.38	3.05	2.63
	3.58	3.09	2.25	Watch
	3	2.9	2.45
	3.6	2.97	2.41	Watch
	3.33	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.54)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
28.7%

Draw
32.4%

Athletic Bilbao
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

29.9%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.8%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	24.4%	68.9%

Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 3 - 6.8%). Athletic will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 57% – 84%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Athletic (1.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Oviedo (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Athletic (1.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Athletic (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Bilbao will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Oviedo (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Athletic (votes: 16 - 94.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 10. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. (C) 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 9. Vinas F.	1. Simon U. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 4. Paredes A. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 18. Jauregizar M. 9. Williams I. (C) 8. Sancet O. 22. Serrano N. 11. Guruzeta G.
Substitutes
27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 17. Borbas T. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 15. Fernandez T. 23. Fonseca N. 19. Fores A. 21. Ilic L. 1. Moldovan H. (G)	12. Areso J. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 25. Izeta 15. Lekue I. 47. Monreal I. 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 30. Rego A. 44. Sanchez S. 6. Vesga M.
Coaches
Almada G.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Chaira I. ⚽, Vinas F. (A),
39', Colombatto S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Serrano N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
57', Hassan H. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Jauregizar M. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
61', Jauregizar M. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
65', Sibo K. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
65', Reina A. ↓, Fonseca N. ↑,
66', Gorosabel A. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
66', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
68', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
70', Fernandez T. 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Sancet O. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Colombatto S. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
81', Vidal N. ↓, Ahijado L. ↑,
87', Rego A. 🟨,
90', Sancet O. ↓, Gomez U. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Oviedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Athletic has had a series of home games.

Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Muscle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Oviedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.87%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barcelona - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLTT
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	4:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	2:2

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