Match Info

LaLiga - Round 25

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Real Sociedad		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.62	3.7	6
	1.55	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.51	4	8.21
	1.55	3.97	6.64	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.66	3.66	7.21	Watch
	1.5	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.63)	3.85 ↑ (3.48)	6.81 ↑ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
61.2%

Draw
24.8%

Real Oviedo
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

27.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

26%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	0%	14%

Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Real Sociedad (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Oviedo (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 17. Gomez S. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 8. Turrientes B. 15. Marin P. 23. Mendez B. 11. Guedes G. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Escandell A. (C) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 10. Hassan H. 5. Reina A. 7. Chaira I. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
6. Elustondo A. 12. Herrera Y. 19. Karrikaburu J. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 47. Ochieng J. 20. Odriozola A. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Soler C. 22. Wesley 21. Zakharyan A. 5. Zubeldia I.	27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 17. Borbas T. 12. Calvo D. 8. Cazorla S. 20. Dendoncker L. 15. Fernandez T. 19. Fores A. 21. Ilic L. 1. Moldovan H. (G)
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Gomez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Turrientes B. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Vinas F. ⚽, Hassan H. (A),
52', 0 - 2, Vinas F. ⚽,
53', Aramburu J. ↓, Odriozola A. ↑,
53', Marin P. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
56', Odriozola A. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
70', Sibo K. 🟨,
76', Hassan H. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
76', Sibo K. ↓, Dendoncker L. ↑,
76', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
77', Gorrotxategi J. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
81', Mendez B. 🟨,
84', Vinas F. ↓, Borbas T. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Caleta-Car D. ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
90+2', Fonseca N. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Bailly E. ⚽, Cazorla S. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Real Sociedad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oviedo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Sociedad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Sociedad is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Kubo T. (Hamstring Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Sucic L. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Colombatto S. (Yellow Cards) Costas D. (Muscle Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
11.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
07.02.26	Real Sociedad - Elche	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
15.02.26	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barcelona - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Osasuna - Real Oviedo	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Real Oviedo - Betis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.08.25	Real Oviedo - Real Sociedad	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.14	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	2:0
04.12.14	Real Oviedo - Real Sociedad	0:0

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