Match Info

LaLiga - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Espanyol		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.12	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.21	3.68	3.4
	2.23	3.53	3.17	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.23	3.68	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	3.26 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
43.9%

Draw
26.7%

Real Sociedad
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	39.1%	17.4%

Espanyol - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 26.2% – 69%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Sociedad (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortuno A. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 17. Jofre 4. Gonzalez U. 8. Exposito 20. Roca A. 14. Terrats R. 9. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Marrero U. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 38. Beitia L. 5. Zubeldia I. (C) 17. Gomez S. 24. Sucic L. 8. Turrientes B. 12. Herrera Y. 47. Ochieng J. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Soler C.
Substitutes
32. Castell L. 13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 24. Dolan T. 23. El Hilali O. 19. Garcia K. 26. Londono M. 11. Milla P. 18. Pickel C. 38. Riedel C. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 30. Tristan P. (G)	46. Aguirre I. 16. Caleta-Car D. 6. Elustondo A. 41. Folgado T. (G) 14. Kubo T. 15. Marin P. 31. Martin J. 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 10. Oyarzabal M. 33. Ruperez I. 21. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Gomez S. 🟨,
23', Herrera Y. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Terrats R. ↓, Dolan T. ↑,
46', Roca A. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
64', Marrero U. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽, Milla P. (A),
67', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
68', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
68', Ochieng J. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
72', Jofre ↓, Castell L. ↑,
77', Aramburu J. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
77', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
79', Sanchez R. ↓, El Hilali O. ↑,
87', Cabrera L. 🟨,
90', Soler C. ↓, Ruperez I. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

Real Sociedad is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 0.

Espanyol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Espanyol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Espanyol: Lozano P. (Yellow Cards) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Espanyol: Ngonge C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Gorrotxategi J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Espanyol: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sevilla - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Espanyol - Levante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Real Sociedad - Valencia	3:4 ✺
14.05.26	Girona - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Real Sociedad - Betis	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:2
09.02.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1
24.08.24	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	0:1
13.02.23	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	2:3
18.09.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1
04.04.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	1:0
28.11.21	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	1:0

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