Match Info

LaLiga - Round 38

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Canada	15:00	TSN+
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 7
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 7
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Germany	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 7
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 4, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Tajikistan	00:00	Futbol TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	S Sport, S Sport+
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	SCTV Online


	Espanyol		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.7	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.1
	2.12	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.21	3.68	3.4
	2.23	3.53	3.17	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.23	3.68	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	3.26 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
43.9%

Draw
26.7%

Real Sociedad
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

27.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.5%	39.1%	17.4%

Espanyol - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Espanyol will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 26.2% – 69%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Sociedad (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortuno A. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 5. Calero F. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 17. Jofre 4. Gonzalez U. 8. Exposito 20. Roca A. 14. Terrats R. 9. Fernandez Jaen R.	13. Marrero U. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 38. Beitia L. 5. Zubeldia I. (C) 17. Gomez S. 24. Sucic L. 8. Turrientes B. 12. Herrera Y. 47. Ochieng J. 9. Oskarsson O. 18. Soler C.
Substitutes
32. Castell L. 13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 24. Dolan T. 23. El Hilali O. 19. Garcia K. 26. Londono M. 11. Milla P. 18. Pickel C. 38. Riedel C. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 30. Tristan P. (G)	46. Aguirre I. 16. Caleta-Car D. 6. Elustondo A. 41. Folgado T. (G) 14. Kubo T. 15. Marin P. 31. Martin J. 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 10. Oyarzabal M. 33. Ruperez I. 21. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Matarazzo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Gomez S. 🟨,
23', Herrera Y. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Terrats R. ↓, Dolan T. ↑,
46', Roca A. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
64', Marrero U. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽, Milla P. (A),
67', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
68', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
68', Ochieng J. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
72', Jofre ↓, Castell L. ↑,
77', Aramburu J. ↓, Elustondo A. ↑,
77', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
79', Sanchez R. ↓, El Hilali O. ↑,
87', Cabrera L. 🟨,
90', Soler C. ↓, Ruperez I. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

Real Sociedad is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 0.

Espanyol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Real Sociedad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Espanyol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Espanyol: Lozano P. (Yellow Cards) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Espanyol: Ngonge C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Gorrotxategi J. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.2:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Real Sociedad	10	6	1	3	19:18	1	19
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12:14	-2	8

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.45% Espanyol: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sevilla - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Espanyol - Levante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Real Sociedad - Valencia	3:4 ✺
14.05.26	Girona - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Real Sociedad - Betis	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.08.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:2
09.02.25	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1
24.08.24	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	0:1
13.02.23	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	2:3
18.09.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1
04.04.22	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	1:0
28.11.21	Espanyol - Real Sociedad	1:0

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