The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril Praia 43.8%
Draw 27.2%
Marítimo 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
28.1%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
25.3%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marítimo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Estoril Praia - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Estoril will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Marítimo will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 40% – 93.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Leite D. (G) 62. Santos T. 23. Alvaro P. 4. Lucas Africo 31. Joaozinho (C) 20. Carvalho J. 5. Gamboa J. 27. Guitane R. 21. Gouveia T. 9. Marques A. 7. Martins R.
30. Makaridze G. (G) 2. Claudio Winck 4. Matheus Costa 15. Rene 45. Fabio China 12. Costa E. (C) 6. Brito R. 8. Val 11. Ramirez J. 29. Riascos B. 74. Marques R.
Substitutes
90. Bamidele Y. 28. Carlos Eduardo 11. Cassiano 22. Delos S. 10. Geraldes F. 50. Joao Carlos 33. Marques J. 34. Mexer 13. Silva P. (G)
57. Catamo G. 17. Correia F. 21. Joao Afonso 31. Marcelo Carne (G) 16. Mendes D. 3. Mosquera M. 27. Paulinho 7. Vidigal A. 23. Xadas
Coaches
Soares R.
Gomes J. M.
Preview
Estoril has the most likely position - 14 (100%), project points - 35, currently - 35, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (100%), project points - 26, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (50%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality42, very small importance0, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3.
Estoril is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Marítimo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Estoril will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Estoril: Vital B.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Marítimo: Trmal M.
(Injury)
Vitor Costa
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Marítimo: Beltrame S.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 8 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.