Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 21

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio José Gomes (Amadora)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Estrela da Amadora		Portimonense

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.97	3.45	4
	1.97	3.56	4.14
	1.85	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.94	3.52	3.96	Watch
	1.94	3.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.01)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	3.91 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
49%

Draw
26.8%

Portimonense
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	18.7%	18.7%

Estrela da Amadora - Portimonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bruno (G) 4. Gaspar K. (C) 5. Mendes P. 28. Lima R. 27. Hevertton S. 6. Aloisio 22. Leo Cordeiro 75. Varela N. 7. Ndo R. 20. Rodrigo Pinho 8. Leo Jaba	32. Nakamura K. (G) 33. Igor Formiga 43. Tornich 44. Pedrao (C) 22. Relvas F. 18. Costa G. 13. Dener 11. Carlinhos 25. Lucas Ventura 10. Pereira H. 77. Varela H.
Substitutes
10. Andre Luiz 1. Antonio Filipe (G) 26. Bucca L. 71. Goncalves da Silva L. R. 17. Joao Reis 29. Kikas 31. Nanu 80. Oakley-Boothe T. 9. Tavares R.	76. Alcobia R. 19. Carrillo R. 8. Fukui T. 7. Jasper S. 70. Martins R. 5. Mvoue S. 6. Sousa R. 4. Thiago Dombroski 12. Vinicius Silvestre (G)
Coaches
Vieira S.	Paulo Sergio

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 12).

Estrela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Portimonense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

There will not play in Estrela: Antonio Filipe (Injury) Lopes M. (Injury)

There will not play in Portimonense: Guga (Yellow Cards) Monteiro T. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
29.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Estrela da Amadora - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTT
- Portimonense SC
Liga Portugal
03.02.24	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
28.01.24	Boavista - Portimonense	1:4 ✺
21.01.24	Portimonense - Gil Vicente	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Portimonense - Farense	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Rio Ave - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
02.09.23	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
23.07.23	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	3:1
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Portimonense - Estrela da Amadora	2:1

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