The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes La Plata 37.9%
Draw 33.6%
Unión Santa Fe 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
30.2%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
29.2%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Estudiantes La Plata - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1.5 - Unión (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 26. Funes Mori R. 36. Pereyra J. 8. Gabriel Neves 7. Sosa J. (C) 29. Perez Fabricio 22. Castro A. 28. Aguirre B. 19. Gaich A.
21. Mansilla M. (G) 32. Paz N. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 24. Profini R. 22. Cuello B. 25. Tarragona C. 19. Estigarribia M.
Substitutes
27. Alario L. 32. Amondarain M. 13. Benedetti G. 17. Burgos J. 9. Carrillo G. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 10. Palacios T. 35. Pierani V. 21. Piovi L.
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 9. Colazo A. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 43. Giaccone E. 46. Grella S. 5. Menossi L. 40. Meuli L. (G) 8. Palavecino N. 12. Pitton B. 23. Solari A.
Coaches
Medina A.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Sosa J. 🟨,
30', Del Blanco M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Estigarribia M. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
44', Pereyra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Sosa J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
56', Castro A. ↓, Amondarain M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
62', Pereyra J. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
66', Paz N. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
68', Palacios T. 🟨,
73', Funes Mori R. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
73', Gaich A. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
76', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
77', Cuello B. 🟨,
77', Cuello B. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
79', Mansilla M. 🟨,
79', Aguirre B. 🟨,
85', Luduena J. 🟨,
88', Palacios J. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
88', Del Blanco M. ↓, Pitton B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Amondarain M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S.
(Knee Injury)
Meza E.
(Yellow Cards)
Palacios T.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Unión: Diaz D.
(Inactive)
Paz N.
(Inactive)
Vargas L.
(Yellow Cards)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).