Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Independiente Medellín		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3.1	Watch
	2.58	2.72	3.15	Watch
	2.68	2.93	3.29
	2.69	2.89	2.99	Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.9	Watch
	2.64	2.92	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.63)	2.87 ↓ (2.93)	3.05 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
36%

Draw
33%

Estudiantes La Plata
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

33.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (G) 2. Chaverra L. 24. Ortiz J. 33. Londono D. 18. Fabra F. 26. Mena Perea E. 14. Perlaza B. 8. Serna A. 20. Montano J. 13. Chaverra F. 19. Fydriszewski F. (C)	16. Muslera F. (G) 20. Meza E. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 24. Palacios T. 13. Benedetti G. 10. Palacios T. 32. Amondarain M. 21. Piovi L. 18. Cetre E. 9. Carrillo G. (C) 11. Farias F.
Substitutes
10. Catano D. 5. Escorcia L. 9. Larrosa E. 16. Loboa H. 17. Mancilla G. 31. Moreno D. 30. Palacios H. 23. Palacios M. 12. Romero S. (G) 45. Valdelamar A. 88. Viveros J. 11. Yony Gonzalez	28. Aguirre B. 27. Alario L. 17. Burgos J. 22. Castro A. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 19. Gaich A. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 40. Mancuso E. 4. Nunez S. 29. Perez Fabricio 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Amondarain M. (A),
24', Montano J. 🟨,
24', Piovi L. 🟨,
36', Palacios T. 🟨,
37', Londono D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mena Perea E. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
48', Palacios T. 🟨,
60', Farias F. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
61', Cetre E. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
62', Carrillo G. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Chaverra F. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
68', Montano J. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
82', Benedetti G. 🟨,
87', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
89', Amondarain M. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,
90', Palacios T. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
90', Muslera F. 🟨,

Preview

Ind Medellín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Estudiantes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ind Medellín: Berrio L. (Injury) Mantilla K. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Estudiantes L.P.: 5.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
02.04.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.04.26	San Lorenzo - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Central Córdoba	5:0 ✺
17.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes La Plata	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

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