Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2025, Friday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)

Referee: van Boekel P. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Excelsior		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.75
	1.49	4.5	5
	1.53	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.51	5.32	Watch
	1.5	4.4	5
	1.51	4.65	5.3	Watch
	1.53	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)	4.48 ↑ (4.15)	5.34 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
61.7%

Draw
20.8%

Dordrecht
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24.4%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.

Dordrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Excelsior - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Excelsior: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. 4. Warmerdam D. 12. Zagre A. 23. Hatenboer C. 15. Naujoks N. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 10. Duijvestijn L. (C) 11. Booth Z.	1. Bossin L. (G) 2. Codutti L. 3. Valk S. 4. van den Avert J. 5. Hilton J. 10. Schuurman J. 8. Parlanti G. 6. van Vianen D. 28. Slory J. 9. Haen D. 7. Osundina K.
Substitutes
33. Bergraaf J. 32. de Moes S. 21. Donkor J. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 40. Holla T. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 14. Rosario R. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.	13. Baltussen T. (G) 63. Biai C. (G) 24. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 14. Olde Keizer C. 11. Pynadath J. 16. Seydoux L. 12. Tabiri K. 20. van der Sluijs J. 18. Vugts S. 19. Zandbergen D. 26. Zouteriks J.
Coaches
den Uil R.	Boel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Parlanti G. 🟨,
31', den Uil R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Booth Z. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
46', Slory J. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Naujoks N. (A),
71', Codutti L. ↓, Pynadath J. ↑,
78', Osundina K. ↓, van der Sluijs J. ↑,
78', Parlanti G. ↓, Zandbergen D. ↑,
82', Zandbergen D. 🟨,
82', Valk S. ↓, Seydoux L. ↑,
89', Duijvestijn L. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Excelsior is a favorite.

There will not play in Excelsior: Blomme X. (Injury)

There will not play in Dordrecht: Kriwak R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Scholte B. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27:19 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16:9 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.12.24	VVV-Venlo - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.24	FC Eindhoven - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.12.24	Excelsior - Volendam	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Emmen - Excelsior	1:1 ✺
29.11.24	Excelsior - Jong Ajax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWTTW
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.12.24	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	3:3 ✺
13.12.24	Roda - Dordrecht	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	3:2 ✺
01.12.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	2:3 ✺
25.11.24	Dordrecht - FC Oss	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.09.24	Dordrecht - Excelsior	2:2
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Excelsior - Dordrecht	3:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.12.21	Dordrecht - Excelsior	1:1
10.09.21	Excelsior - Dordrecht	3:1
30.04.21	Excelsior - Dordrecht	3:0
11.09.20	Dordrecht - Excelsior	1:3
10.01.20	Dordrecht - Excelsior	1:1

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