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Current Win Probability
Jong PSV 23.4%
Draw 21.8%
Excelsior 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25%
22.2%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
22.4%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
7.7%
76.9%
Jong PSV - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
Excelsior will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Steur R. (G) 2. van de Blaak E. 4. Kuhn W. 3. Monamay M. 5. van den Heuvel T. 6. Geerts E. 8. Bars E. 7. Younis M. 10. Abed T. 11. Ndala J. 9. Uneken J. (C)
1. Raatsie C. (G) 34. Seymor S. 5. Widell C. (C) 22. de Almeida Reis J. 4. Warmerdam D. 20. Hartjes L. 15. Naujoks N. 11. Booth Z. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R. 30. Sanches Fernandes D.
Substitutes
18. Bawuah J. 22. Dagasan M. 20. Gilbert D. 14. Gonzaga J. 21. Houben I. 23. Janssen N. (G) 16. Kuijsten S. (G) 17. Simons J. 15. Van de Riet R. 19. Verkooijen N.
33. Bergraaf J. 2. Bronkhorst I. 32. de Moes S. 21. Donkor J. 24. Eijgenraam J. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Groenendijk A.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Naujoks N. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
23', 0 - 3, Fini S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', van de Blaak E. ↓, Dagasan M. ↑,
46', Geerts E. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
56', Raatsie C. 🟨,
58', Monamay M. 🟨,
60', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
60', de Almeida Reis J. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,
61', Abed T. ↓, Gonzaga J. ↑,
61', Bars E. ↓, Gilbert D. ↑,
68', Kuhn W. 🟨,
69', Fini S. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
69', Booth Z. ↓, Eijgenraam J. ↑,
77', Hartjes L. ↓, Loeffen S. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Uneken J. ⚽, Dagasan M. (A),
81', Younis M. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
83', Ndala J. 🟨,
83', Widell C. 🟨,
88', Donkor J. 🟨,
90+3', Loeffen S. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 2.
Jong PSV is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Excelsior is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Jong PSV have a series of guest games.
In this match Excelsior is a favorite.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Fofana F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Excelsior: Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Jong PSV won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:18 (average 1.3:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Jong PSV won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.8:2).
Netherlands
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Steur R. (G) 
Monamay M. 
Bars E. 
Younis M. 
Abed T. 
Ndala J. 
Widell C. (C) 
Booth Z. 
Fini S. 
Gilbert D. 
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