Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)


	Excelsior		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.25	7
	1.36	4.6	6.5
	1.36	5	8
	1.37	5.13	7.5
	1.38	4.93	7.27	Watch
	1.33	4.8	7
	1.37	5.05	7.26
	1.36	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.44)	4.97 ↑ (4.4)	7.32 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior
68.5%

Draw
18.8%

VVV-Venlo
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

19.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The ML Model estimate for Excelsior aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Excelsior - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: Excelsior will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Kuiper P. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 18. Loeffen S. 34. Seymor S. 32. de Moes S. 33. Bergraaf J. 15. Naujoks N. 24. Eijgenraam J. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 29. van Duinen M. 26. Zandbergen V.	23. van Crooij D. (G) 37. van Zutphen D. 33. Blancquart G. 27. Joosten T. 5. Janssen S. 10. Popperl P. 19. Gyamfi E. 21. De Waal M. 8. Sierra E. 17. Berden M. 18. Doesburg P.
Substitutes
22. de Almeida Reis J. 7. Fini S. 20. Hartjes L. 28. Middendorp S. 9. Omorowa R. 1. Raatsie C. (G) 4. Warmerdam D.	29. Braem T. 1. de Boer J. (G) 9. Doumtsios K. 35. el Anbri Y. 30. Jenniskens J. 28. Lemmert D. 26. Matoug N. 24. Odriss M. 14. Roemer Y. 25. Taylan Z. (G) 11. Verheijen T. 7. Wehmeyer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Bergraaf J. ⚽, Zandbergen V. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Berden M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Naujoks N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', De Waal M. ↓, Odriss M. ↑,
46', Joosten T. ↓, el Anbri Y. ↑,
46', van Zutphen D. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
65', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Fini S. ↑,
65', Naujoks N. ↓, Hartjes L. ↑,
65', Doesburg P. ↓, Doumtsios K. ↑,
72', Bergraaf J. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
83', Zandbergen V. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
83', van Duinen M. ↓, Middendorp S. ↑,
85', Popperl P. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
90+3', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3.

Recent matches Excelsior is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Venlo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Excelsior is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:9 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.10.24	Excelsior - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
21.10.24	Jong PSV - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	Excelsior - MVV Maastricht	3:2 ✺
04.10.24	Roda - Excelsior	3:0 ✺
27.09.24	Excelsior - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	1:2 ✺
18.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht	2:3 ✺
13.10.24	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
27.09.24	Volendam - VVV-Venlo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
16.09.24	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	4:0
29.04.22	VVV-Venlo - Excelsior	2:2
15.10.21	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	3:0
Dutch Eredivisie
09.03.19	VVV-Venlo - Excelsior	1:0
29.09.18	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	1:0
10.03.18	VVV-Venlo - Excelsior	2:3
30.09.17	Excelsior - VVV-Venlo	0:2

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