The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 30%
Draw 25.6%
Excelsior 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
26.5%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
26.9%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helmond Sport's form might have worsened.
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excelsior's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helmond Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excelsior, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
Helmond Sport - Excelsior Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van der Steen W. (C) 2. Pachonik T. 4. Halhal R. 8. Ostrc E. 17. Van Hove B. 22. Dizdarevic A. 27. Absalem A. 7. Bisselink S. 10. Golliard T. 11. Daneels L. 9. Sits D.
1. Raatsie C. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 5. Widell C. (C) 3. Pierie K. 4. Warmerdam D. 20. Hartjes L. 15. Naujoks N. 24. Eijgenraam J. 7. Fini S. 9. Omorowa R. 30. Sanches Fernandes D.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 32. Essakkati T. 21. Hendriks T. (G) 19. Ingason H. 14. Mallahi M. 12. Ogenia J. 39. van den Hurk A. 52. Van Himbeeck A.
33. Bergraaf J. 22. de Almeida Reis J. 32. de Moes S. 21. Donkor J. 38. Kuiper P. (G) 18. Loeffen S. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M. 12. Zagre A.
Coaches
Hofland K.
den Uil R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', de Moes S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bisselink S. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
46', Absalem A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
53', Golliard T. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Omorowa R. ⚽,
63', Daneels L. ↓, van den Hurk A. ↑,
64', Pierie K. 🟨,
76', Fini S. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
76', Pierie K. ↓, Seymor S. ↑,
76', Golliard T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
81', Van Hove B. 🟨,
82', Omorowa R. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
82', Ogenia J. 🟨,
86', Sits D. 🟨,
90+1', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, Bergraaf J. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 2.
Helmond Sport is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Excelsior is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Excelsior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Helmond Sport: Doudah M.
(Injury)
Ludwig M.
(Knee Injury)
Scholz J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Van Den Eynden F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Excelsior: Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:30 (average 1.3:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1.3:2.3).
Netherlands
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van der Steen W. (C) 
Pachonik T. 
Halhal R. 
Ostrc E. 
Van Hove B. 
Dizdarevic A. 
Golliard T. 
Sits D. 
Widell C. (C) 
Fini S. 
Ingason H. 
Ogenia J. 
Zagre A. 
