The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 65.4%
Draw 19%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 15.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
22.7%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
21.7%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior's performance.
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Excelsior - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
Excelsior will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
. Raatsie C. (G) . Bronkhorst I. . Donkor J. . Eijgenraam J. . Fini S. . Hartjes L. . Naujoks N. . Omorowa R. . Warmerdam D. . Widell C. . Zagre A.
. Deen D. (G) . Berkhout J. . Daal R. . Dijkstra E. . Engel M. . Esajas J. . Kalisvaart J. . Kwakman D. . Mastoras E. . Smit K. . Zeefuik L.
Substitutes
. Booth Z. . de Almeida Reis J. . de Moes S. . Loeffen S. . Middendorp S. . Rosario R. . Sanches Fernandes D. . van Duinen M.
. Boogaard K. . Dekkers S. . Gerold J. . Kuijsten T. (G) . Lenssen L. . Oud J. . Oulhaj A. . Robbemond R. . Toppenberg K. . van Aken J. . van Duijl B.
Coaches
den Uil R.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Smit K. ⚽, Dijkstra E. (A),
11', 0 - 2, Daal R. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
16', Deen D. 🟨,
19', 1 - 2, Omorowa R. (Pen),
21', Widell C. 🟨,
26', Bronkhorst I. 🟨,
45+1', Esajas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Zagre A. ↓, de Moes S. ↑,
56', Esajas J. ↓, Dekkers S. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Naujoks N. ⚽, Warmerdam D. (A),
66', Engel M. ↓, Oud J. ↑,
71', Donkor J. ↓, Booth Z. ↑,
71', Fini S. ↓, Sanches Fernandes D. ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽,
77', Kalisvaart J. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
77', Zeefuik L. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
78', Naujoks N. 🟨,
85', Omorowa R. ↓, Armantrading J. ↑,
90+1', Smit K. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 2, Sanches Fernandes D. (Pen),
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 2.
Excelsior is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Jong AZ is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Excelsior is certain favorite.
There will not play in Excelsior: Duijvestijn L.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Excelsior: Pierie K.
(Foot Injury)
Sanches Fernandes D.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Jong AZ: Schouten L.
(Injury)
Twisk N.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Excelsior to win the game is with odds 1.45.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Excelsior won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-7.