Match Info

NETHERLANDS: KNVB BEKER - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Excelsior Maassluis		ADO Den Haag

	1	X	2
	9	5.25	1.33
	7	5.25	1.31
	8	5.5	1.33	Watch
	4.97	4.18	1.58
	7.86	5.54	1.31
	8.5	5	1.25
	8.2	5.86	1.32
	7.6	5.4	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.64 ↑ (3.42)	5.25 ↑ (3.84)	1.34 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
12.3%

Draw
17.9%

ADO Den Haag
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

23.9%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23.1%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Maassluis's form might have worsened.

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADO Den Haag's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Maassluis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADO Den Haag, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Excelsior Maassluis - ADO Den Haag Predictions

Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Van der Kleij T. (G) 5. Schippers V. 3. Ringeling K. 4. Urbanus G. 26. Heuvelman D. 21. Overman G. 17. Dercks K. (C) 8. van den Beemt N. 14. Fonseca G. 9. Wennekers B. 10. Maatsen D.	21. Marsman N. (G) 22. Che J. 26. Siereveld G. 4. Waem M. 14. Koudossou H. 6. Surmeli K. (C) 11. Sellouki M. 7. van Mieghem D. 20. Komljenovic S. 15. Absalem A. 10. van der Sande J.
Substitutes
22. Croes T. 1. El Fakiri K. (G) 28. Haars J. 12. Kellouh O. 19. Klaassen S. 11. Langedijk P. 20. Moshtaq B. 27. Plank D. 25. Ringelberg J. 2. Tureaij C. 18. van Delft D. 30. van Mil M.	2. Asante T. 28. Coremans T. (G) 34. de Bruin F. 18. Esajas S. 3. Granli D. 32. Houwaart M. 17. Ideho J. 30. Schalk A. 29. Van de Riet D. (G) 19. van Wolfgang J. 9. Veerman H. 13. Vigen L.
Coaches
Jacobs S.	Kalezic D.

Preview

Excelsior Maassluis is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Den Haag in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Den Haag could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Den Haag have a series of home games.

In this match Den Haag is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.23	DEM - Excelsior Maassluis	0:1 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
16.12.23	ACV - Excelsior Maassluis	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Amsterdamsche FC - Excelsior Maassluis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLT
- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.24	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	5:3 ✺
23.12.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.12.23	ADO Den Haag - Sparta Rotterdam	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.12.23	ADO Den Haag - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
08.12.23	ADO Den Haag - Willem II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWT

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