Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday


	Excursionistas		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	7.3
	1.42	3.9	6.8
	1.44	4.02	8.35
	1.42	3.6	8
	1.45	3.75	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.34)	3.77 ↓ (4.2)	7.61 ↓ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
63.7%

Draw
24.2%

El Porvenir
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

21.6%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

82.7%

26.5%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Excursionistas - El Porvenir Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). El Porvenir will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 2.

Excursionistas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches El Porvenir is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Excursionistas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Excursionistas is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
29.05.22	San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas	2:4 ✺
22.05.22	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	General Lamadrid - Excursionistas	2:2 ✺
10.05.22	Excursionistas - Berazategui	5:0 ✺
06.05.22	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
29.05.22	El Porvenir - Liniers	1:0 ✺
21.05.22	Ferrocarril Midland - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
15.05.22	El Porvenir - Deportivo Español	0:2 ✺
10.05.22	Central Córdoba de Rosario - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.08.21	Excursionistas - El Porvenir	2:1
09.04.21	El Porvenir - Excursionistas	1:0
30.12.20	El Porvenir - Excursionistas	0:1
27.09.19	Excursionistas - El Porvenir	0:1
30.03.19	Excursionistas - El Porvenir	2:4
21.10.18	El Porvenir - Excursionistas	3:0
27.04.18	El Porvenir - Excursionistas	1:2

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