The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 64.4%
Draw 22.5%
Barrow 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
25.4%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
25.3%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.
Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.4%
2.7%
6.8%
Exeter City - Barrow Predictions
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(66 of 73 users predict this - 90.41%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.66% โ 97.16%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
Exeter has the most likely position - 2 (79.89%), has project points - 85, has currently - 80, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very good chance of promoted (99%), has a small chance of win league (14%).
Barrow has the most likely position - 21 (48.2%), has project points - 47, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has small quality10, importance34, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0.
Exeter is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Barrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Exeter is absolute favorite.
Our prediction for today's Exeter to win the game is with odds 1.52.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.