The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 47.1%
Draw 27.6%
Northampton Town 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28.1%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
27.7%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
13.3%
6.7%
Exeter City - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Exeter City will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Exeter City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 4. Turns E. 15. Yfeko J. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 20. Woodhouse L. 10. Aitchison J. 28. Tuterov T. 9. Wareham J.
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 35. Dyche M. 24. Moore E. 18. Forbes M. 11. Swyer K. 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 8. McGeehan C. (C) 9. Eaves T. 10. List E.
Substitutes
42. Birch G. 23. Bycroft J. (G) 19. Cox S. 17. Higgins A. 27. Magennis J. 34. Oakes L. 3. Rydel R.
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 15. Evans J. 7. Hoskins S. 3. McCarthy C. 21. Perkins J. 27. Vale J.
Coaches
Caldwell G.
Nolan K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Swyer K. ↓, Burroughs J. ↑,
53', List E. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
62', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Perkins J. ↑,
63', Eaves T. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
66', Yfeko J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
68', Campbell D. 🟨,
83', Aitchison J. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
84', Tuterov T. ↓, Rydel R. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Exeter is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Exeter: McMillan J.
(Inactive)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Northampton: Edwards K.
(Injury)
Guthrie J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Exeter City - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Northampton Town - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.79%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Whitworth J. (G) 
Sweeney P. (C) 
Turns E. 
Niskanen I. 
Aitchison J. 
Tuterov T. 
Forbes M. 
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