Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Exeter City		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	7.5	5	1.38
	8	5	1.4
	7.5	4.93	1.42
	7.3	4.9	1.41	Watch
	7	4.4	1.4
	7.44	4.85	1.44	Watch
	8	5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↓ (9.37)	4.87 ↓ (5.92)	1.41 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
12.7%

Draw
19.6%

Nottingham Forest
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

16.1%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nottingham Forest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	4%	76%

Exeter City - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Nottingham will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Whitworth J. (G) 25. MacDonald A. 20. Turns E. 2. McMillan J. 18. Harper V. 47. Richards J. 8. Francis E. 14. Niskanen I. 7. Mitchell D. 21. Trevitt R. 27. Magennis J. (C)	33. Carlos Miguel (G) 17. da Silva Moreira E. 30. Boly W. 15. Toffolo H. 19. Moreno A. 28. Danilo 22. Yates R. (C) 6. Sangare I. 20. Jota Silva 9. Awoniyi T. 24. Sosa R.
Substitutes
10. Aitchison J. 31. Bird J. 12. Cole R. 16. Jones P. 37. MacDonald S. (G) 3. Purrington B. 17. Watts C. 6. Woods R. 30. Yogane T.	44. Abbott Z. 8. Anderson E. 16. Dominguez N. 21. Elanga A. 10. Gibbs-White M. 4. Morato 26. Sels M. (G) 7. Williams N. 11. Wood Ch.
Coaches
Caldwell G.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Magennis J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Sangare I. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Awoniyi T. ⚽, Sangare I. (A),
38', McMillan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 2, Magennis J. ⚽,
59', Carlos Miguel ↓, Sels M. ↑,
59', Danilo ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
71', Trevitt R. ↓, Watts C. ↑,
71', Yates R. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
72', Sangare I. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
74', Mitchell D. ↓, Yogane T. ↑,
83', Francis E. ↓, Woods R. ↑,
83', Harper V. ↓, Jones P. ↑,
83', Richards J. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
87', Turns E. 🟥,
90+13', Awoniyi T. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
90+13', McMillan J. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Moreno A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
105+1', Williams N. 🟨,
115', Yogane T. 🟨,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Magennis J. (Pen),
1, Wood Ch. (Pen),
2, Cole R. (Pen),
2, Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
3, MacDonald A. (Pen),
3, Anderson E. (Pen),
4, Yogane T. (Pen),
4, Williams N. (Pen),

Preview

Exeter has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nottingham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nottingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nottingham have a series of home games.

In this match Nottingham is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
01.02.25	Stevenage Borough - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
28.01.25	Exeter City - Leyton Orient	2:6 ✺
25.01.25	Exeter City - Blackpool	1:3 ✺
21.01.25	Peterborough United - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Birmingham City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
01.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	7:0 ✺
25.01.25	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	5:0 ✺
19.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Southampton	3:2 ✺
14.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Luton Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWTW

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