Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)


	FBC Melgar		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	1.09	10	29	Watch
	1.08	9.75	18.5
	1.08	9	21
	1.08	7.8	21
	1.11	9.31	24.6
	1.07	8	23
	1.08	9.6	23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.12)	9.07 ↑ (8.04)	22.87 ↑ (22.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
85.7%

Draw
10.2%

Universidad San Martín
4.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.2%

11.7%

4.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

The chances for Universidad San Martín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Uni San Martín will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs) and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1.

Melgar in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Universidad San Martín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Melgar is certain favorite.

Last 26 head-to-head matches Melgar won 13 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 40-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 29-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.22	Carlos Stein - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
15.08.22	FBC Melgar - Cantolao	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.22	Internacional RS - FBC Melgar	0:1 penalties ✺
04.08.22	FBC Melgar - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
29.07.22	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWTW
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.22	Universidad San Martín - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Universidad San Martín	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Atlético Grau - Universidad San Martín	1:0 ✺
27.07.22	Universidad San Martín - Ayacucho	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
10.04.22	Universidad San Martín - FBC Melgar	2:0
17.10.21	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	6:0
24.04.21	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	0:2
18.09.20	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	1:1
14.09.19	Universidad San Martín - FBC Melgar	1:1
30.03.19	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	3:1
25.11.18	Universidad San Martín - FBC Melgar	1:1

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