The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitesse 27.5%
Draw 24.2%
NAC Breda 48.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.5%
23.3%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
23.1%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitesse's form might have worsened.
NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitesse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Vitesse - NAC Breda Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Breda will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. 55. Steffen M. 22. Thenu X. 20. de Carvalho F. 6. Schikora M. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 21. Sellouf A. 19. Hilterman J. 9. Bannis N.
1. Verrips M. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 4. Greiml L. 22. Hillen R. 12. Van den Bergh J. 78. Van Hecke J. 6. Balard M. 14. Sowah K. 10. Nassoh M. (C) 28. Brym C. 9. Soumano M.
Substitutes
14. Achouitar O. 2. Bonnah S. 31. Brull M. (G) 28. Buttner A. 16. Dahbo P. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 27. Probst E. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 38. te Veluwe K. 7. Zonneveld N.
17. Bouchouari M. 35. Brouwers M. 5. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 33. Ikpia E. 8. Jensen F. 23. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 11. Misehouy G. 34. Nazih I.
Coaches
Rehm R.
Kruys R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Bannis N. ⚽, de Carvalho F. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Brym C. ⚽, Sowah K. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Sowah K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Markelo N. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,
46', Hilterman J. ↓, Dahbo P. ↑,
46', Marschalk M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
49', Brym C. 🟨,
51', Steffen M. 🟨,
67', Sowah K. ↓, Jensen F. ↑,
71', de Carvalho F. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
72', Brym C. ↓, Misehouy G. ↑,
79', Sellouf A. 🟨,
80', Ouallil Y. 🟨,
81', Soumano M. ↓, Bouchouari M. ↑,
81', Van den Bergh J. ↓, Brouwers M. ↑,
83', Thenu X. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Bannis N. ⚽,
90', Buttner A. 🟨,
90+4', Steffen M. ↓, Achouitar O. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Vitesse has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:10 (averaging 2.2:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vitesse against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 17:6 goals (averaging 2.8:1 per game).
Netherlands
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van den Berg C. (G) 
Markelo N. 
Zumberi V. 
de Carvalho F. 
Schikora M. (C) 
Hilterman J. 
Bannis N. 
Greiml L. 
Van den Bergh J. 
Balard M. 
Sowah K. 
Brym C. 
Soumano M. 
Dahbo P. 
Pinto J. 
Ranon Y. 
Jensen F. 
Lamprou K. (G) 
