Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: GelreDome (Arnhem)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Vitesse		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.50	4.50	Watch
	1.62	4.20	4.20
	1.55	4.20	4.50	Watch
	1.61	4.61	4.59
	1.6	4.58	4.53	Watch
	1.59	4.55	4.50
	1.61	4.47	4.47	Watch
	1.59	4.30	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.55)	4.43 ↓ (4.61)	4.44 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitesse
58.2%

Draw
20.9%

Jong PSV
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

19.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Vitesse - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 17. Zumberi V. 14. Achouitar O. 43. Olde Keizer C. 6. Schikora M. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 20. de Carvalho F. 16. Dahbo P. 21. Sellouf A. 9. Bannis N.	1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Penso K. 3. Bresser M. 4. Merien F. (C) 5. Verhulst G. 6. Mulders B. 8. Sidibe S. 7. Dumbili S. 10. Cornecion S. 11. Kluit F. 9. Bro Hansen M.
Substitutes
25. Bodak T. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 31. Brull M. (G) 28. Buttner A. 19. Hilterman J. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 27. Probst E. 11. Ranon Y. 55. Steffen M. 22. Thenu X. 7. Zonneveld N.	20. Holseter-Karlsen P. 19. Jones A. 15. Manuhutu R. 14. Monamay M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 18. Oldenstam L. 21. Oteng-Mensah K. 17. Sabajo G.
Coaches
Rehm R.	Schaars S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, de Carvalho F. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Dumbili S. ⚽, Mulders B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bro Hansen M. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Sellouf A. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
62', Schikora M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
62', Dahbo P. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Bannis N. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Dumbili S. ↓, Oteng-Mensah K. ↑,
73', Mulders B. ↓, Holseter-Karlsen P. ↑,
77', de Carvalho F. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
81', Oteng-Mensah K. ↓, Sabajo G. ↑,
81', Penso K. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
90', Bannis N. ↓, Hilterman J. ↑,
90', Marschalk M. ↓, Bonnah S. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 6th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Vitesse could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Vitesse carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Vitesse has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:10 (averaging 2.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vitesse against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.39% Jong PSV: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Vitesse	10	4	2	4	15:15	0	14
12	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Jong PSV - the odds 4.77 are the expected chance of winning is 19.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Vitesse - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Den Bosch - Vitesse	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	Vitesse - Almere City	0:3 ✺
17.08.26	Jong Utrecht - Vitesse	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.09.26	Jong PSV - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Waalwijk - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
20.03.26	Jong PSV - Vitesse	0:2
25.11.25	Vitesse - Jong PSV	3:1
20.12.24	Jong PSV - Vitesse	6:4
25.10.24	Vitesse - Jong PSV	1:3

Upcoming Matches