The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heracles Almelo 63.6%
Draw 19.6%
Vitesse 16.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.9%
20.2%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
19.8%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Heracles Almelo - Vitesse Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vitesse will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Heracles (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heracles (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 15. Vicente D. 4. Mirani D. 14. Wrusch M. 25. Manny 5. van der Kust D. 32. Scheperman S. (C) 7. Abbas C. 17. van Gilst T. 18. Hauswirth M. 27. N'djoli J.
1. van den Berg C. (G) 24. Markelo N. 55. Steffen M. 14. Achouitar O. 22. Thenu X. 20. de Carvalho F. 6. Schikora M. (C) 33. Marschalk M. 21. Sellouf A. 19. Hilterman J. 9. Bannis N.
Substitutes
2. Benita M. 3. Borac M. 10. Bruns T. 35. Bultman S. 8. Engels M. 16. Jansink T. (G) 9. Poppler V. 11. Reine-Adelaide J. 23. te Wierik M. 6. Tomic D. 26. van Kaam D. 33. Zeevalkink L. (G)
2. Bonnah S. 42. Bosch T. 31. Brull M. (G) 28. Buttner A. 34. Ouallil Y. 13. Pinto J. 27. Probst E. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 38. te Veluwe K. 46. van der Mast H. 7. Zonneveld N.
Coaches
Heilmann V.
Rehm R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', Hilterman J. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, N'djoli J. ⚽, van Gilst T. (A),
24', Schikora M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Achouitar O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hauswirth M. ↓, Tomic D. ↑,
46', van Gilst T. ↓, Bruns T. ↑,
66', Hilterman J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
66', Marschalk M. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
66', Abbas C. ↓, Reine-Adelaide J. ↑,
66', de Carvalho F. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
76', Manny 🟨,
78', Thenu X. ↓, Probst E. ↑,
78', Achouitar O. ↓, Buttner A. ↑,
79', Sellouf A. 🟨,
80', N'djoli J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
81', Bruns T. 🟨,
83', Markelo N. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 5th in the Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 1.
Heracles is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Vitesse has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vitesse may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Heracles for this game.
Confirmed absences for Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Knee Injury)
Bozinovski R.
(Ankle Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Heracles in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Heracles has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:29 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Heracles against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:16 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).