Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Wolff A. (Ned)


	FC Oss		Helmond Sport

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.75	3.20	Watch
	2.10	3.50	3.00
	2.00	3.60	3.05	Watch
	2.08	3.80	3.29
	2.14	3.71	3.05	Watch
	2.05	3.81	3.21
	2.05	3.74	3.19	Watch
	2.04	3.60	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.19)	3.69 ↑ (3.45)	3.12 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
45.1%

Draw
25.2%

Helmond Sport
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.8%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

FC Oss - Helmond Sport Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: FC Oss will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (C) 2. Pata I. 3. Miguel L. 23. Vianello D. 26. Kuijpers J. 10. van der Venne R. 8. Esajas M. 11. Mathieu J. 18. Silva K. 19. Nsingi F. 17. Hinoke M.	1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 4. Koglin B. (C) 43. Landheer T. 5. Poll T. 11. Cicero L. 6. Ludwig M. 44. van der Velde X. 19. Ingason H. 9. Bajrami L. 94. Lenaerts M.
Substitutes
5. Bynoe J. 21. Cox T. 27. de Lannoy M. 12. Henry A. 6. Horemans M. 4. Jansen Q. 24. Kuiper J. 28. Mol L. 25. Pansa J. 16. Remie D. (G) 9. Visser A. 33. Zonneveld L.	22. Dizdarevic A. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 47. Geerts D. 14. Golic L. 10. Huiberts D. 31. Meissner N. 2. van Bree R. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 21. Van der Heijden W. (G)
Coaches
Ultee S.	Frans F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', Dekkers S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Hinoke M. ⚽, Nsingi F. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Ludwig M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Hinoke M. ⚽, Mathieu J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lenaerts M. ↓, Ekoli K. ↑,
58', Silva K. 🟨,
61', van der Velde X. 🟨,
61', Silva K. ↓, de Lannoy M. ↑,
62', Bajrami L. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
62', Ingason H. ↓, Huiberts D. ↑,
63', van der Venne R. 🟨,
74', Mathieu J. ↓, Bynoe J. ↑,
74', Nsingi F. ↓, Visser A. ↑,
85', Hinoke M. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
85', van der Venne R. ↓, Jansen Q. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, de Lannoy M. ⚽,
89', Ludwig M. ↓, Golic L. ↑,
89', Landheer T. ↓, Meissner N. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Oss holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Helmond Sport: Essakkati T. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Oss: Mariani M. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Oss has recorded 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:25 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oss against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Oss	12	4	1	7	19:20	-1	13
19	Helmond	12	2	3	7	20:26	-6	9

Last Results with these Odds

Helmond Sport - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.10.26	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Emmen - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
18.09.26	FC Oss - Dordrecht	3:0 ✺
11.09.26	VVV-Venlo - FC Oss	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Vitesse - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL
- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.10.26	Helmond Sport - Heracles Almelo	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
04.09.26	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.03.26	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:1
31.10.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	0:3
02.02.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	1:1
16.09.24	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:0
15.03.24	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	1:0
15.09.23	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:1
31.03.23	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	2:2

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