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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 16.3%
Draw 20.4%
Heracles Almelo 63.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.5%
18.6%
66.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
17.9%
69.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heracles Almelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
14.3%
85.7%
Helmond Sport - Heracles Almelo Predictions
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Heracles Almelo will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 4. Koglin B. 43. Landheer T. 5. Poll T. 7. van der Sluijs J. 6. Ludwig M. 44. van der Velde X. 8. Llonch P. (C) 11. Cicero L. 34. Essakkati T.
1. de Keijzer F. (G) 15. Vicente D. 4. Mirani D. 14. Wrusch M. 25. Manny 5. van der Kust D. 32. Scheperman S. (C) 7. Abbas C. 17. van Gilst T. 18. Hauswirth M. 27. N'djoli J.
Substitutes
22. Dizdarevic A. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 10. Huiberts D. 94. Lenaerts M. 2. van Bree R. 14. van den Boogaard B. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 21. van Sleeuwen W. (G)
2. Benita M. 3. Borac M. 10. Bruns T. 35. Bultman S. 8. Engels M. 16. Jansink T. (G) 9. Poppler V. 11. Reine-Adelaide J. 23. te Wierik M. 6. Tomic D. 26. van Kaam D. 33. Zeevalkink L. (G)
Coaches
Frans F.
Heilmann V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Wrusch M. ⚽, van der Kust D. (A),
8', Vicente D. 🟥,
8', de Keijzer F. 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Essakkati T. ⚽, van der Velde X. (A),
13', Reine-Adelaide J. 🟨,
26', Llonch P. 🟨,
29', Essakkati T. 🟨,
36', Llonch P. ↓, Dizdarevic A. ↑,
44', 1 - 2, Manny ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Abbas C. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Dekkers S. ⚽, van der Velde X. (A),
58', van der Sluijs J. ↓, Lenaerts M. ↑,
66', van Gilst T. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
66', Hauswirth M. ↓, Tomic D. ↑,
71', Essakkati T. 🟨,
79', Poll T. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
79', Cicero L. ↓, Ekoli K. ↑,
80', Lenaerts M. 🟨,
82', van der Velde X. 🟨,
82', Bultman S. 🟨,
87', Benita M. 🟨,
88', Benita M. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 1st in the Promotion - Eredivisie).
In recent outings, Helmond Sport has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Heracles shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The betting markets point to Heracles as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Confirmed absences for Heracles: Borges Sanches Y.
(Knee Injury)
Bozinovski R.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Helmond Sport has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:10 (averaging 0.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Helmond Sport against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
Netherlands
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Bergsen M. (G) 
Koglin B. 
van der Velde X. 
Llonch P. (C) 
Manny 
van der Kust D. 
Abbas C. 
Dizdarevic A. 
Ekoli K. 
El Maach A. (G) 
Poppler V. 
