Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 16

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Frans Heesen Stadion (Oss)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)


	FC Oss		Waalwijk

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.76	Watch
	3.7	4.15	1.78
	3.68	3.8	1.92
	3.63	3.76	1.89	Watch
	3.94	3.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.63)	3.93 ↑ (3.76)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
24.9%

Draw
23.8%

Waalwijk
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24.8%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

24.3%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	23.5%	70.6%

FC Oss - Waalwijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Oss will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Waalwijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Havekotte M. (C) 27. de Lannoy M. 2. Miguel L. 23. Vianello D. 26. Kuijpers J. 8. Esajas M. 28. Mol L. 75. Zimmerman J. 11. Remans M. 17. Hinoke M. 9. Wildeboer T.	16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Altena J. 35. Postma L. 15. Wouters L. 55. Held N. 20. Kuster H. 10. van der Venne R. (C) 8. van Kaam D. 7. Cleonise D. 9. Uneken J. 17. Kuijpers R.
Substitutes
31. Bernardina J. 33. de Wit K. 99. Doucoure S. 22. Erkan M. 32. Fonteni J. 19. Marhoum Y. 25. Markx D. 12. Milder S. (G) 18. Pinto N. 16. Remie D. (G) 24. Turay F.	5. Familia-Castillo J. 29. Kramer M. 14. Lokesa C. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 21. Schaapman M. 11. van der Leij T. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M. 2. Zorgdrager B.
Coaches
Ultee S.	Duits S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mol L. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
54', Postma L. 🟨,
57', Kuijpers R. ↓, Lokesa C. ↑,
59', Hinoke M. 🟨,
66', Wildeboer T. ↓, de Wit K. ↑,
71', Held N. ↓, Familia-Castillo J. ↑,
72', van der Venne R. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
76', Zimmerman J. ↓, Erkan M. ↑,
85', Kuster H. ↓, Kramer M. ↑,
85', van Kaam D. ↓, Zorgdrager B. ↑,
89', Remans M. ↓, Marhoum Y. ↑,
89', Hinoke M. ↓, Turay F. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oss won 1.

Oss has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Waalwijk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Waalwijk is the team to beat.

There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Oss: Cox T. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L. (Knock)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Oss won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oss won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

FC Oss - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.73%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	Willem II - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	HHC Hardenberg - FC Oss	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Jong Utrecht - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWTT
- RKC Waalwijk
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.11.25	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:4 ✺
02.11.25	Emmen - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Waalwijk - Cambuur	4:2 ✺
20.10.25	Dordrecht - Waalwijk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.19	FC Oss - Waalwijk	0:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.01.19	FC Oss - Waalwijk	1:2
12.10.18	Waalwijk - FC Oss	0:0
06.04.18	FC Oss - Waalwijk	3:1
24.11.17	Waalwijk - FC Oss	2:1
10.03.17	Waalwijk - FC Oss	3:0
14.10.16	FC Oss - Waalwijk	2:5

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