Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Fagiano Okayama		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.4
	2.87	3.21	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.6	2.42
	3.05	3.32	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.45
	3.14	3.32	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.44)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
32.3%

Draw
28.6%

Yokohama F. Marinos
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.5%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 2. Tatsuta Y. 18. Tagami D. 15. Kudo K. 28. Matsumoto M. 24. Fujita I. 3. Fujii K. 50. Kato H. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. 99. Lucao	19. Park Il-gyu (G) 23. Miyaichi R. 13. Quinones J. 44. Deng T. 2. Nagato K. 11. Yan 6. Watanabe K. 28. Yamane R. 9. Tono D. 14. Uenaka A. 10. Anderson Lopes
Substitutes
4. Abe K. 45. Browne N. 19. Iwabuchi H. 33. Kamiya Yuta 13. Kanayama J. (G) 23. Saga R. 29. Saito K. 39. Sato R. 14. Tabei R.	20. Amano J. 7. Elber 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 8. Kida T. 33. Suwama K. 25. Suzuki T. 15. Walsh S.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Holland S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Quinones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Matsumoto M. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
54', Fujii K. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
65', Deng T. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Lucao ⚽,
82', Tono D. 🟨,
85', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
85', Yan ↓, Elber ↑,
88', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
88', Esaka A. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
90+4', Lucao ↓, Saito K. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 15).

Recent matches Okayama is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yokohama FM is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yokohama FM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yokohama FM have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Kawasaki Frontale	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLTW
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shanghai Port	4:1 ✺
04.03.25	Shanghai Port - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
26.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTT

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