Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 29

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	22:45	Veikkaus TV
Greece	22:45	COSMOTE Sport 8
Portugal	20:45	Sport TV1
Ukraine	22:45	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	15:45	Fubo Latino


	Famalicão		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.49	4.22	8.14
	1.47	4.18	7.57	Watch
	1.44	4	7	Watch
	1.53	4.22	7.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.7)	4.13 ↑ (3.88)	7.3 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
64.2%

Draw
22.9%

Moreirense
12.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

24.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Famalicão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Famalicão - Moreirense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Famalicão (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Famalicão will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 55. Ba I. 16. De Haas J. 5. Rafa Soares 20. Sa G. (C) 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 12. Elisor S. 7. Sorriso	13. Ferreira A. (G) 70. Fabiano 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas (C) 27. Kiko 10. Kiko Bondoso 23. John N. 8. Stjepanovic M. 2. Travassos 11. Alanzinho 21. Rodri
Substitutes
9. Abubakar U. 11. Aranda O. 18. Beney R. 2. Garcia 77. Joujou A. 8. Pena M. 3. Realpe L. 80. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	25. Assis A. 22. Caio (G) 30. Gower J. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 78. Landerson 16. Mika (G) 9. Semedo L. 7. Teguia C. 99. Yan Maranhao
Coaches
Oliveira H.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rodri ⚽, John N. (A),
11', Sorriso 🟨,
30', Rodri 🟨,
43', De Amorim M. 🟨,
43', Alanzinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', John N. 🟨,
59', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
65', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
66', Alanzinho ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
67', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Santos P. ⚽, Rafa Soares (A),
73', Gil Dias 🟨,
74', Kiko 🟨,
74', Sorriso ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
75', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
78', Maracas 🟨,
83', Fabiano ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
83', Rodri ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
89', Elisor S. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
90+1', Ferreira A. 🟨,
90+7', Ba I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.

Famalicão is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moreirense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Famalicão is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Moreirense: Martinez A. (Muscle Injury) Michel (Muscle Injury) Pinto D. (Shoulder Injury) Santos L. (Injury) Sousa V. (Leg Injury) Yan Maranhao (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Famalicão: De Amorim M. (Injury) Rochinha (Inactive)

There are questionable in Moreirense: Teguia C. (Injury)

We predict that Famalicão will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Moreirense	9	3	2	4	11:16	-5	11
11	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	14:11	3	10

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Famalicao: 0.29% Moreirense: 0.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
04.04.26	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Famalicão - Nacional	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Famalicão - Arouca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rio Ave - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWWT
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
04.04.26	Moreirense - Braga	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Moreirense - Arouca	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Porto - Moreirense	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Moreirense - Nacional	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Casa Pia - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.11.25	Moreirense - Famalicão	2:2
23.02.25	Famalicão - Moreirense	2:0
21.09.24	Moreirense - Famalicão	0:0
28.01.24	Moreirense - Famalicão	1:0
21.08.23	Famalicão - Moreirense	0:0
13.02.22	Famalicão - Moreirense	5:0
12.09.21	Moreirense - Famalicão	2:2

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