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Fenerbahçe vs Nottingham Forest Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, February 19, 2026)

Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Servus TV, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+, Servus TV
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max
Japan	Wowow Live
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	JOJ Sport
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
World	Sport 24, VIX App


	Fenerbahçe		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.63
	2.85	3.25	2.65
	2.83	3.25	2.74
	2.67	3.28	2.85
	2.6	3	2.7
	2.69	3.21	2.88
	2.8	3.2	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.43)	2.72 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
34.9%

Draw
30%

Nottingham Forest
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.7%	12.6%	12.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 85 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 63 - 74.1%). Nottingham will win (votes: 11 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 64.8% – 83.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fenerbahçe (1.64) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - Fenerbahçe (3.52) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0, 2nd Half - Fenerbahçe (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fenerbahçe (1.37) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 43 - 89.6%). Nottingham (votes: 2 - 4.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 18. Muldur M. 6. Guendouzi M. 94. Talisca 17. Kante N. 21. Asensio M. 26. Cherif S. 9. Akturkoglu K.	27. Ortega S. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 8. Anderson E. 6. Sangare I. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 21. Hutchinson O. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
70. Aydin O. 39. Biterge E. (G) 3. Brown A. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 54. Ekici A. 7. Fred 22. Mercan L. 45. Nene D. 4. Soyuncu C. 5. Yuksek I.	44. Abbott Z. 29. Bakwa D. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 18. Gunn A. (G) 20. Lucca L. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 14. Ndoye D. 67. Willows K. (G) 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Tedesco D.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', Skriniar M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Murillo ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
26', Skriniar M. ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
41', Tedesco D. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
46', Muldur M. ↓, Mercan L. ↑,
50', 0 - 3, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Igor Jesus (A),
61', Igor Jesus ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
61', Hutchinson O. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
61', Talisca ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
67', Anderson E. ↓, Dominguez N. ↑,
67', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
69', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
76', Kante N. ↓, Fred ↑,
78', Soyuncu C. 🟨,
83', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
90+1', Fred 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Fenerbahçe has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nottingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nottingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fenerbahçe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Injury) Fall A. (Inactive) Gunok M. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Musaba A. (Inactive) Yandas M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Nottingham: Awoniyi T. (Inactive) Boly W. (Knee Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Netz L. (Inactive) Ortega S. (Inactive) Sels M. (Groin Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) da Silva Moreira E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
14.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
09.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Gençlerbirliği	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.26	Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	FCSB - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Ferencvárosi	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTWW

Fenerbahçe - Nottingham Forest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide