Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Wolverhampton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.33
	1.8	3.8	4.45
	1.8	3.9	4.8
	1.7	4.02	5.13	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	1.8	4	4.45	Watch
	1.73	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)	3.85 ↓ (3.91)	4.62 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
54.4%

Draw
24.9%

Wolverhampton Wanderers
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.9%	14.7%	4.4%

Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (55 of 68 users predict this - 80.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.53% – 90.23%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nottingham Forest will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Wolverhampton (votes: 1 - 3.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ortega S. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 4. Morato 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 20. Lucca L.	1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Bueno S. 37. Krejci L. 21. Gomes R. 47. Gomes A. 8. Joao Gomes 3. Bueno H. 36. Mane M. 14. Arokodare T. 9. Armstrong A.
Substitutes
9. Awoniyi T. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 18. Gunn A. (G) 19. Igor Jesus 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 25. Netz L. 22. Yates R.	27. Bellegarde J. 2. Doherty M. 74. Edozie T. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 17. Pedro Lima 62. Rawlings L. 60. Sutherland E. 38. Tchatchoua J. 6. Wolfe D. M.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Edwards R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Gomes R. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
60', Bueno H. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
65', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
71', Lucca L. ↓, Igor Jesus ↑,
75', Tchatchoua J. 🟨,
78', Gomes A. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
86', Bellegarde J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 2.

In recent matches, Nottingham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wolverhampton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wolverhampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Wolverhampton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nottingham is the team to beat.

There will not play in Nottingham: John Victor (Knee Injury) Sels M. (Groin Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Murillo (Calf Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Andre (Calf Injury) Hwang Hee-Chan (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Ferencvárosi	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWL
- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
07.02.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
03.12.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:1
06.01.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	0:3
31.08.24	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
13.04.24	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2
09.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Nottingham Forest	1:1
01.04.23	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1
English League Cup
11.01.23	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 pen.

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