Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.4	3.8
	2.12	3.2	3.85
	2.15	3.35	3.93
	2.15	3.43	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.07	3.36	4.01	Watch
	2.05	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)	3.29 ↓ (3.53)	3.82 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
45.9%

Draw
29%

Crystal Palace
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.3%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.7%	16.7%	13.6%

Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 46 - 69.7%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nottingham: 58.6% – 80.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Crystal Palace (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Crystal Palace (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Nottingham (1.28) (votes: 12 - 92.3%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Nottingham (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 18.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 16. Dominguez N. 19. Igor Jesus	1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 34. Riad C. 2. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 11. Johnson B. 10. Pino Y.
Substitutes
44. Abbott Z. 9. Awoniyi T. 18. Gunn A. (G) 21. Hutchinson O. 27. Lucca L. 24. McAtee J. 4. Morato 14. Ndoye D. 22. Yates R.	44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 17. Clyne N. 63. Marsh Z. 31. Matthews R. (G) 42. Rodney K. 12. Uche C.
Coaches
Dyche S.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Gibbs-White M. ⚽,
31', Richards C. 🟨,
32', Riad C. 🟨,
45', Williams N. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 1, Sarr I. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Dominguez N. ↓, Morato ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sels M. ↓, Gunn A. ↑,
46', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Yates R. ↑,
54', Pino Y. 🟨,
61', Riad C. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
70', Igor Jesus ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
75', Milenkovic N. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 1.

Nottingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Crystal Palace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nottingham will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nottingham: John Victor (Knee Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Clyne N. (Muscle Injury) Kamada D. (Hamstring Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury) Wharton A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nottingham won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Nottingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Nottingham: 0.4% Crystal Palace: 0.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Ferencvárosi	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.01.26	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Braga - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
17.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Wrexham - Nottingham Forest	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLTL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
25.01.26	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Sunderland - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Crystal Palace - Aston Villa	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
24.08.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
05.05.25	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
21.10.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:0
30.03.24	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:1
07.10.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	0:0
28.05.23	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	1:1
12.11.22	Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace	1:0

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