Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Ferrocarril Midland		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.00	5.75
	1.75	3.10	5.00
	1.78	3.05	4.70
	1.80	3.11	5.24
	1.78	3.09	5.4	Watch
	1.76	3.00	5.10
	1.75	2.95	5.10
	1.74	3.05	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	5.19 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
52.2%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético de Rafaela
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

28.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs and 11th).

Ferrocarril has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Atlético Rafaela has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Ferrocarril for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ferrocarril has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.88%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Atlético de Rafaela - the odds 5.06 are the expected chance of winning is 18.26%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Güemes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	San Martín de San Juan - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.10.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:3 ✺
27.09.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Atlético de Rafaela - San Martín de Tucumán	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0

Ferrocarril Midland - Atlético de Rafaela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide