Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: De La Fuente O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Ferrol		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.4
	2.95	2.9	2.6	Watch
	3.17	3.03	2.58
	3.11	3	2.53	Watch
	3.08	3.05	2.51	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.74)	2.98 ↓ (3.27)	2.54 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
31.1%

Draw
31.7%

Castellón
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Ferrol - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 3. Correa R. 5. Naldo 14. Gelardo A. 10. Sene J. 6. Sanz A. 9. Jauregi E. 21. Blanco R. 17. Dorrio J.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 5. Jimenez A. 33. Vertrouwd J. 22. Chirino D. 21. Calatrava A. 6. van den Belt T. 2. Zarfino G. 4. Suero I. 11. Aurelio D. 10. Sanchez R. 20. Markanich N.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 23. Cabaco E. 15. Castro D. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 12. Insua E. 18. Martinez B. 11. Nacho 8. Pena H. 24. Perea L. 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 29. Boriko S. 16. Cipenga B. 9. de Miguel J. 14. Gil O. 12. Jojic M. 19. Mabil A. 8. Mamah K. 7. Moyita S. 51. Pastor G. 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 3. Traore M.
Coaches
Menendez A.	Plat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Naldo (Own goal),
10', Puric A. 🟨,
14', 0 - 2, Sanchez R. ⚽, Zarfino G. (A),
32', Sanz A. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
32', Puric A. ↓, Cabaco E. ↑,
45+1', Zarfino G. 🟨,
45+1', Calatrava A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Calatrava A. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
50', Jimenez A. 🟨,
58', Zarfino G. 🟨,
59', Dorrio J. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
59', Gelardo A. ↓, Pena H. ↑,
63', Markanich N. ↓, Mamah K. ↑,
63', Aurelio D. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
65', Sene J. (Pen),
68', 1 - 2, Sene J. (Pen),
74', Suero I. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, van den Belt T. ⚽, de Miguel J. (A),
82', Sene J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
89', Sanchez R. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Ferrol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There are questionable in Ferrol: Manzanara F. (Muscle Injury) Martinez B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Calatrava A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
03.02.25	Levante - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Racing Santander - Ferrol	6:0 ✺
11.01.25	Ferrol - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Ferrol - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Zaragoza - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTLL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.25	Castellón - Huesca	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Real Oviedo - Castellón	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Castellón - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Tenerife - Castellón	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Castellón - Elche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.11.24	Castellón - Ferrol	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
09.09.15	Ferrol - Castellón	1:0

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