Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Figueirense		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.5	5.5
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.53	3.73	7.36
	1.5	3.6	6.99
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.5	3.62	6.49	Watch
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.43)	3.59 ↓ (3.75)	6.33 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
60.2%

Draw
25.4%

EC São José Porto Alegre
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

24.4%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.8%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Figueirense - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). EC São José will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 30. Bruno Michel 10. Camilo (C) 32. Jefinho 5. JP Iseppe 21. Leo Baiano 2. Leonardo Maia 3. Rafael Ribeiro 24. Ruan Levine 6. Samuel Toscas 15. Tiago Barbosa	1. Fabio Rampi (G) 5. Danielzinho 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Edinho 3. Fredson 8. Gabriel Terra 4. Jadson 6. Lailson 7. Matheuzinho 11. Nayssinho M. V. 14. Rafael Carillho
Substitutes
14. Cedric 29. Cristian Renato 20. Gledson 31. Henrique Rodrigues 18. Kaua 8. Matheus Farinha 17. Natan Maciel 9. Renan Bernabe 1. Thiago Goncalves (G) 23. Tito 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)	16. Evaristo 19. Marcio Jonatan 2. Marco Freitas 18. Marquinhos 15. Neko 17. Nonato 12. Peralta A. (G) 20. Rene Sousa 13. Tiago Pedra
Coaches
Joao Burse	Zimermann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Camilo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matheuzinho ↓, Marcio Jonatan ↑,
46', Edinho ↓, Nonato ↑,
58', Ruan Levine ↓, Tito ↑,
67', Tiago Barbosa 🟨,
68', Nayssinho M. V. ↓, Evaristo ↑,
68', Gabriel Terra ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
76', Fredson ↓, Tiago Pedra ↑,
77', Jefinho ↓, Renan Bernabe ↑,
77', Bruno Michel ↓, Henrique Rodrigues ↑,
80', Nonato 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Douglas Oliveira ⚽,
90+2', Leo Baiano ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

EC São José Porto Alegre is Relegated to Serie D

Recent matches Figueirense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

EC São José Porto Alegre is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Figueirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Figueirense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
11.08.24	Figueirense - Londrina	0:0 ✺
03.08.24	Botafogo PB - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
27.07.24	Figueirense - Remo	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Tombense - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWTL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
10.08.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	ABC - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
17.07.24	Botafogo PB - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
13.08.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Figueirense	3:3
31.07.22	Figueirense - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2
11.09.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Figueirense	1:2
11.07.21	Figueirense - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0

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