Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 36

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3
	2.35	3.3	2.9
	2.35	3.4	2.95
	2.38	3.4	2.88
	2.43	3.36	3.09
	2.3	3.5	2.88
	2.42	3.15	2.96	Watch
	2.24	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.55)	3.32 ↓ (3.44)	2.95 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
39.8%

Draw
28.3%

Wigan Athletic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Wigan will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 4. Wiredu B. (C) 16. Heneghan B. 6. Campbell E. 10. Mayor D. 5. Lawal B. 8. Kilkenny G. 44. Patterson P. 11. Broom R. 9. Stockley J. 33. Coughlan R.	1. Tickle S. (G) 7. Clare S. 29. Goode C. (C) 15. Kerr J. 24. Chambers L. 18. Smith J. 26. Adeeko B. 10. Aasgaard T. 8. Smith M. 17. Godo M. 11. Humphrys S.
Substitutes
19. Graydon R. 2. Johnston C. 14. Lonergan T. 30. McMullan S. (G) 20. Omochere P. 26. Rooney S. 12. Samuels I.	12. Amos B. (G) 6. Hughes C. 14. Jones J. 23. Kelman C. 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 21. Smith S.
Coaches
Adam C.	Maloney S.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 1.

Fleetwood is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wigan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fleetwood could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fleetwood will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Fleetwood won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
27.02.24	Port Vale - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Fleetwood Town - Reading	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Lincoln City - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLTL
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
27.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:0 ✺
23.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Shrewsbury Town - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.11.23	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	3:0
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	4:3 penalties
English League Cup
09.08.22	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	1:0
English League One
01.03.22	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	2:0
02.11.21	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	2:3
23.01.21	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	0:0
19.12.20	Fleetwood Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1

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