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Current Win Probability
Flint Town United 26.9%
Draw 24.5%
Pen-y-Bont 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
23.5%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
22.8%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flint Town United's form might have worsened.
Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pen-y-Bont's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flint Town United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Flint Town United - Pen y Bont Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Szczepaniak D. (G) 3. Burke M. 21. Canavan J. 8. Hughes B. 18. Lee I. 17. Mudimu A. 5. Owen H. 7. Phillips J. 9. Reeves E. 6. Thorn J. 10. Wynne B.
1. Armstrong L. (G) 21. Baker A. 10. Crole J. 11. Daley N. 6. Davies M. 29. Green C. 4. Kircough G. 30. Little M. 3. Owen K. (C) 8. Pritchard O. 7. Wood N.
Substitutes
15. Davies D. 31. Dempsey Z. 16. Ferguson C. 22. Imariagbe K. 11. Jones J. 14. Maire G. 2. Woollam B.
16. Borge B. 18. Jones J. 2. Ludvigsen K. 14. Phillips I. 35. Price J. (G) 17. Warlow O. 5. Woodiwiss J.
Coaches
Fowler L.
Griffiths R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Thorn J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Green C. ⚽,
42', Reeves E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', 1 - 2, Daley N. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Wynne B. ⚽,
67', 3 - 2, Burke M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 3, Crole J. ⚽,
87', 3 - 4, Daley N. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Pen-y-Bont may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Pen-y-Bont is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Flint Town won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Flint Town won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
Watch
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Szczepaniak D. (G) 
Burke M. 
Hughes B. 
Lee I. 
Mudimu A. 
Dempsey Z. 
Ferguson C. 
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