Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Referee: De Gabriele M. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Floriana		Balzan

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.50	3.80
	1.82	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3.4	3.94
	1.76	3.61	4.14	Watch
	1.88	3.2	3.75
	1.77	3.74	4.05
	1.86	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)	3.42 ↓ (3.66)	3.9 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floriana
50.1%

Draw
26.6%

Balzan
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Balzan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Floriana - Balzan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 16. Chapi 9. Dervisagic K. 6. Drina A. 22. Gudelj T. 11. Muric R. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.	1. Ciappara D. (G) 14. Dimeji A. 2. Djoric N. 18. Ederson 21. Gabriel Santos 42. Grech Z. 17. Guehi S. 7. Kuach Yuel V. 96. Leo Fernandes 11. Macula 8. Pulis N. (C)
Substitutes
99. Attard D. 25. Cassar G. 37. Jbira Y. 14. Kurtalic A. 8. Mbong P. 27. Newell Z. 90. Odey S. 80. Picon P. (G) 20. Piscopo E. 5. Rodgers G. 86. Shchepetkin N.	5. Arab S. 24. Cassar Z. 25. Celic V. 23. Cipriott S. 99. Djalo M. (G) 6. Grech J. 19. Lapira L. 80. Majok A. 22. Micallef K. 4. Portelli J. 9. Yahaya M.
Coaches
Portela D.	Cohen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Dimeji A. ⚽,
11', Muric R. 🟨,
25', Macula 🟨,
26', Chapi 🟨,
40', Drina A. ↓, Kurtalic A. ↑,
40', Dervisagic K. ↓, Odey S. ↑,
40', Muric R. ↓, Mbong P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Kurtalic A. 🟨,
60', Gudelj T. ↓, Jbira Y. ↑,
64', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Mbong P. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Macula ↓, Majok A. ↑,
80', Ederson ↓, Portelli J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6: ) and 8th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floriana won 2.

Floriana has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Balzan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Balzan has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Floriana is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Floriana has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:18 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Floriana against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Floriana	7	4	2	1	17:8	9	14
7	Balzan	7	2	4	1	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floriana FC
Maltese Premier League
20.09.26	Paola Hibernians - Floriana	0:4 ✺
12.09.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:5 ✺
Maltese Super Cup
07.09.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.09.26	Floriana - Gżira United	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Hamrun Spartans - Floriana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWT
- Balzan FC
Maltese Premier League
20.09.26	Balzan - Sliema Wanderers	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Valletta - Balzan	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Balzan - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Balzan - Gżira United	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
16.02.25	Balzan - Floriana	0:0
26.10.24	Floriana - Balzan	3:0
18.02.24	Floriana - Balzan	2:2
01.10.23	Balzan - Floriana	0:3
05.03.23	Balzan - Floriana	3:1
23.10.22	Floriana - Balzan	0:0
06.02.22	Floriana - Balzan	2:1

Floriana - Balzan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide