Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 20

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport


	Fluminense		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6.75
	1.51	4.37	7.22
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.49	4.3	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.19 ↑ (3.9)	6.65 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
63.4%

Draw
22.5%

América Mineiro
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

24%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

23.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Fluminense - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). América MG will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 12. Marcelo 7. Andre 45. Lima 10. Ganso 21. Jhon Arias 14. Cano G. 11. Keno	1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 25. Marcinho 26. Burgos E. 3. Iago Maidana 22. Danilo Avelar 23. Mendez J. 8. Juninho (C) 5. Emmanuel Martinez 11. Felipe Azevedo 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 65. Rodrigo Varanda
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 55. Danielzinho 44. David Braz 16. Diogo Barbosa 17. Fernandez L. 15. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 9. John Kennedy 18. Lele 4. Marlon 8. Martinelli L. M. 22. Pedro Rangel (G)	16. Ale 33. Eder Ferreira 37. Everaldo 21. Lucas Kal 6. Marlon 36. Mateus Henrique 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 87. Mikael 47. Paulinho Boia 29. Pedrinho 75. Rodriguinho 9. Wellington Paulista
Coaches
Diniz F.	Bustos F.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 2.

Fluminense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América MG is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fluminense is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Alexsander (Injury) Gustavo Apis (Injury) Jorge (Injury)

There will not play in América MG: Adyson (Injury) Aloisio (Injury) Dada Belmonte (Injury) Ricardo Silva (Injury)

There are questionable in América MG: Felipe Azevedo (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
13.08.23	Grêmio - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.08.23	Fluminense - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.08.23	Fluminense - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Fluminense - Santos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTW
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
13.08.23	América Mineiro - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.08.23	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	3:4 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Bahia - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.08.23	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.07.23	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
15.04.23	América Mineiro - Fluminense	0:3
09.10.22	Fluminense - América Mineiro	0:2
15.06.22	América Mineiro - Fluminense	0:0
21.11.21	Fluminense - América Mineiro	2:0
08.08.21	América Mineiro - Fluminense	1:0
02.12.18	Fluminense - América Mineiro	1:0
19.08.18	América Mineiro - Fluminense	0:0

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