Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pacella F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Folgore Caratese		Treviso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.00	2.15
	3.05	2.88	2.17	Watch
	3.51	3.25	2.24
	3	3.07	2.33	Watch
	3.45	2.95	2.20
	3.33	3.22	2.18	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.76)	3.07 ↑ (2.92)	2.21 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
28.6%

Draw
29.9%

Treviso
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.3%

31.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treviso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treviso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Folgore Caratese - Treviso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Sarr M. (G) 19. Duca T. 43. Bassino A. 21. Gega E. 6. Ndoj E. 8. Castellano F. (C) 29. Minerva F. 92. Tessiore A. 99. D'Amico F. 11. Balzano M. 9. Spalluto S.	30. Nobile T. (G) 21. Ceccacci M. 13. Maestrelli A. 5. Bove D. 2. Brigati A. 4. Rossi G. 27. Gucher R. (C) 25. Romeo F. 10. Ciuferri F. 17. Paganini L. 9. Tommasini C.
Substitutes
18. Ambrosini M. 24. Bellia E. 7. Cester S. 80. Di Dio F. 22. Facchini T. (G) 77. Mezsargs K. 28. Pedicillo L. 1. Salvalaggio D. (G) 61. Santarcangelo A. 10. Vacca A. 72. Vignoli M.	7. Brevi T. 8. Cappelletti D. 44. Guiyong F. 22. Leonardelli P. (G) 94. Liotti D. 76. Lombardi A. 20. Luderin D. 31. Mbengue C. 11. Mellino C. 78. Ndulue D. 12. Veronese N.
Coaches
Guidi F.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Bassino A. 🟨,
36', D'Amico F. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Rossi G. ⚽, Gucher R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tessiore A. ↓, Vacca A. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Paganini L. ⚽, Maestrelli A. (A),
67', Gucher R. 🟨,
69', Duca T. ↓, Bellia E. ↑,
69', Minerva F. ↓, Di Dio F. ↑,
69', Spalluto S. ↓, Mezsargs K. ↑,
70', Romeo F. ↓, Brevi T. ↑,
78', Ciuferri F. ↓, Liotti D. ↑,
85', Gucher R. ↓, Mellino C. ↑,
85', Maestrelli A. ↓, Cappelletti D. ↑,
87', Mellino C. 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Serie C - Play Out and 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Folgore Caratese has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for Folgore Caratese against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Treviso	11	5	4	2	12:8	4	19
19	Folgore Caratese	11	1	4	6	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Trento - Folgore Caratese	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Pergolettese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWTT
- Treviso
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Treviso - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Treviso - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Renate - Treviso	0:1 ✺
21.09.26	Treviso - Desenzano Calvina	0:0 ✺
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
13.05.26	Folgore Caratese - Treviso	2:0

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