Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Folgore Caratese		Treviso

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.6
	1.87	3.39	3.77
	1.89	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.9	3.41	4.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.7)	3.31 ↑ (3)	3.77 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
48.4%

Draw
27.5%

Treviso
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

30.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore Caratese's performance.

Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treviso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore Caratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treviso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folgore Caratese - Treviso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Forchignone M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Capelli A. ⚽,

Preview

Folgore Caratese is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Treviso's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
19.04.26	Folgore Caratese - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Folgore Caratese - Oltrepo	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Scanzorosciate - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Folgore Caratese - Caldiero Terme	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Breno - Folgore Caratese	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWW
- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
19.04.26	San Luigi - Treviso	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Treviso - Conegliano	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Altavilla - Treviso	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Treviso - Obermais	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Treviso - Luparense	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

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