Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Folkestone Invicta		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.5	9.4
	1.19	6.52	9.92
	1.28	5.57	8.05	Watch
	1.22	5.5	9
	1.19	6.1	10.7
	1.2	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	5.87 ↑ (4.91)	9.68 ↑ (8.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
75%

Draw
15.5%

Welling United
9.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.7%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.7%

17.8%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Folkestone Invicta - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Thomas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Smith L. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Folkestone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Folkestone has had a series of home games.

In this match, Folkestone is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Folkestone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27:15	12	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Burgess Hill Town	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
06.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WTTLL
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Welling United - Hashtag United	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Aveley - Welling United	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Canvey Island - Welling United	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Welling United - Brentwood Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Welling United - Folkestone Invicta	0:3
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Folkestone Invicta - Welling United	3:1

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