Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	South Shields		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.9
	4.5	3.55	1.8
	3.9	3.35	1.95
	4.14	3.32	1.86
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.82	3.54	1.86	Watch
	3.95	3.35	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (5.07)	3.36 ↓ (3.8)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
23.3%

Draw
27.6%

Forest Green Rovers
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

24.5%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23.2%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forest Green Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forest Green Rovers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

South Shields - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. South Shields will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Forest Green will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for South Shields: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

South Shields is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Forest Green is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Forest Green is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Warrington Town - South Shields	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.10.22	South Shields - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
18.10.22	Liversedge - South Shields	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	South Shields - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Stalybridge Celtic - South Shields	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
29.10.22	Barnsley - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
25.10.22	Fleetwood Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Exeter City	4:1 ✺
English League One
15.10.22	Port Vale - Forest Green Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLWT

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