Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 45

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	3
	2.25	3.6	2.85
	2.25	3.75	2.85
	2.31	3.75	2.95
	2.31	3.75	2.95
	2.25	3.75	2.8
	2.27	3.7	2.83	Watch
	2.13	3.65	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)	3.69 ↑ (3.53)	2.89 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
41.9%

Draw
25.5%

Crawley Town
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Sutton United - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arnold S. (G) 23. Jackson R. 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 42. Hart S. 10. Beautyman H. (C) 31. Lakin C. 7. Coley J. 38. Sanderson O. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 9. Smith H.	1. Addai C. (G) 30. Wright W. 3. Conroy D. (C) 6. Maguire L. 10. Darcy R. 26. Williams J. 4. Kelly L. 14. Forster H. 25. Tsaroulla N. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 8. Lolos K.
Substitutes
16. Clay C. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 15. Eastmond C. 6. John L. 30. Kerbey M. 27. Moore D. 8. N'Guessan C.	22. Adeyemo A. 28. Campbell A. 19. Kelly J. 27. Khaleel R. 20. Mukena J. 11. Roles J. 13. Sandford R. (G)
Coaches
Morison S.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Hart S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Kelly L. ⚽, Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Lakin C. ⚽,
67', Coley J. ↓, Moore D. ↑,
67', Adom-Malaki S. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
72', Darcy R. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
72', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
76', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
78', Sowunmi O. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Sanderson O. ⚽, Beautyman H. (A),
84', Sanderson O. ↓, Eastmond C. ↑,
86', Williams J. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Lolos K. ⚽, Kelly J. (A),
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 4.

Sutton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Crawley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crawley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sutton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
13.04.24	Harrogate Town - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Sutton United - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Sutton United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
29.03.24	Salford City - Sutton United	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Sutton United - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLWWW
- Crawley Town
English League Two
16.04.24	Crawley Town - Barrow	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Crawley Town - Colchester United	2:3 ✺
09.04.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
06.04.24	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	1:4 ✺
01.04.24	Newport County - Crawley Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Sutton United - Crawley Town	1:0 penalties
English League Two
30.09.23	Crawley Town - Sutton United	3:0
07.03.23	Sutton United - Crawley Town	3:0
26.12.22	Crawley Town - Sutton United	1:2
26.04.22	Sutton United - Crawley Town	3:0
16.10.21	Crawley Town - Sutton United	0:1

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