Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Forest Green Rovers		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.7
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.55	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.75
	2.65	3.43	2.75
	2.4	3.4	2.7
	2.53	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.18)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)	2.67 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
37.2%

Draw
27.4%

Grimsby Town
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.

Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 22. Welch R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 3. Bernard D. 25. Dabo F. 18. Maddox J. 27. Bunker H. 28. Jones C. 17. Robson J. 23. Omotoye T. 7. McAllister K.	1. Cartwright H. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 5. Rodgers H. 31. Maher N. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 9. Pyke R. 8. Holohan G. 19. Andrews J. 4. Green K. 14. Gnahoua A. 32. Rose D. (C)
Substitutes
45. Aldridge J. 12. Bendle A. 6. Jenks T. 4. Johnson D. 19. Robertson S. 20. Searle J. (G) 24. Sully O.	16. Ainley C. 22. Amos D. 42. Conteh K. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 29. Hunt A. 6. Waterfall L. 25. Wilson D.
Coaches
Horseman D.	Pearson S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Forest Green could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Forest Green won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Scarborough Athletic	5:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Tranmere Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	0:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTW
- Grimsby Town
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Grimsby Town - Slough Town	7:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.23	Slough Town - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0 ✺
24.10.23	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.03.21	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
27.10.20	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0
01.02.20	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
17.08.19	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	1:0
22.01.19	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	3:0
04.08.18	Grimsby Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:4
05.05.18	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	0:3

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