Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Oxford United		Grimsby Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7
	1.39	5	7.5
	1.38	4.75	7	Watch
	1.4	4.96	7.4
	1.4	4.96	7.29
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.4	4.8	7.2	Watch
	1.38	4.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)	4.87 ↑ (4.72)	7.2 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
67.7%

Draw
19.3%

Grimsby Town
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Grimsby Town aligns with the current prediction.

Oxford United - Grimsby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. 4. Thorniley J. 3. Brown C. 8. Brannagan C. 18. McGuane M. 7. Mills S. 20. Rodrigues R. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.	1. Cartwright H. (G) 28. Mullarkey T. 5. Rodgers H. 31. Maher N. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 42. Conteh K. 15. Clifton H. 9. Pyke R. 29. Hunt A. 11. Khan O. 32. Rose D. (C)
Substitutes
10. Bodin B. 11. Browne M. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 25. Gorrin A. 6. McEachran J. 28. Negru S. 39. O'Donkor G. 14. Smyth O.	16. Ainley C. 12. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Efete M. 7. Eisa A. 4. Green K. 8. Holohan G. 30. Khouri E. 6. Waterfall L. 25. Wilson D.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Pearson S.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Grimsby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oxford is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
28.11.23	Oxford United - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Cheltenham Town - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Leyton Orient - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Oxford United - Chelsea U21	5:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Oxford United - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWW
- Grimsby Town
English League Two
28.11.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Grimsby Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Forest Green Rovers - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Grimsby Town - Slough Town	7:2 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
08.11.14	Grimsby Town - Oxford United	1:3

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