Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Gubbio		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	2.18	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.27	3.1	3.45
	2.22	3.01	3.28	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.2
	2.25	2.76	3.4	Watch
	2.33	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	3.37 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
41.8%

Draw
31.1%

Forlì
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gubbio - Forlì Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Forlì will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gubbio (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 34. Zallu F. 15. Signorini A. (C) 23. Bruscagin M. 29. Murru N. 44. Hraiech S. 8. Rosaia G. 40. Costa G. 19. La Mantia A. 73. Ghirardello T. 10. Di Massimo A.	12. Veliaj G. (G) 27. Manetti G. 26. Palomba L. 4. Saporetti L. 14. Spinelli A. 20. Ilari C. 23. De Risio C. 6. Franzolini A. 30. Coveri V. 9. Selvini A. 11. Farinelli N.
Substitutes
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 4. Baroncelli L. 78. Conti V. 82. Djankpata H. 17. Fazzi N. 53. Latini R. 11. Mastropietro F. 77. Minta A. 80. Niang O. 27. Podda L. 3. Tentardini A. 56. Tomasella M. (G) 9. Tommasini C.	15. Berti N. 25. Elia M. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 13. Greco G. 10. Macri D. 2. Mandrelli N. 22. Martelli L. (G) 3. Menarini F. 36. Onofri M. 8. Ripani D. 33. Rossi D. 21. Scorza C. 40. Tagliaferri 45. Zagre

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Di Massimo A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Zallu F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spinelli A. ↓, Rossi D. ↑,
46', Farinelli N. ↓, Macri D. ↑,
58', Costa G. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
63', Di Massimo A. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
65', De Risio C. 🟨,
71', Ilari C. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
71', De Risio C. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
76', Zallu F. 🟨,
80', Ghirardello T. ↓, Tommasini C. ↑,
80', Murru N. ↓, Tentardini A. ↑,
81', Rosaia G. ↓, Baroncelli L. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).

In recent matches, Gubbio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forlì has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gubbio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gubbio has had a series of away games.

Gubbio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Gubbio - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.99%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.26	Perugia - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Sambenedettese - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Pineto - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Gubbio - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Pianese - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.01.26	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Ravenna - Forlì	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Forlì - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perugia - Forlì	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Forlì - Carpi	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Forlì - Gubbio	0:1
25.02.17	Forlì - Gubbio	1:0
08.10.16	Gubbio - Forlì	1:0
22.03.15	Gubbio - Forlì	2:1
08.11.14	Forlì - Gubbio	2:1

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