Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena


	Vis Pesaro		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.3
	2.02	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.05	3.7
	2.09	3.06	3.56	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.08	2.89	3.64	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)	3.03 ↓ (3.27)	3.5 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
43.8%

Draw
30.1%

Forlì
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Pesaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forlì could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vis Pesaro - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 3. Zoia R. 15. Ceccacci M. 13. Primasso A. 77. Durmush M. 28. Machin J. 10. Di Paola M. 21. Vezzoni F. 7. Pucciarelli M. 20. Giovannini R. 9. Nicastro F.	22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 26. Palomba L. 25. Elia M. 24. Cavallini G. 20. Ilari C. 3. Menarini F. 6. Franzolini A. 9. Selvini A. 17. Trombetta M. 11. Farinelli N.
Substitutes
63. Barranco G. 27. Bastianelli R. 24. Berengo N. 6. Di Renzo G. 72. Franchetti Rosada L. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 55. Mariani E. 17. Paganini L. 2. Piras M. 66. Podrini F. 70. Rizza A. 5. Tonucci D. 99. Ventre A.	1. Calvani S. (G) 30. Coveri V. 18. Giovannini A. 13. Greco G. 10. Macri D. 2. Mandrelli N. 36. Onofri M. 8. Ripani D. 33. Rossi D. 4. Saporetti L. 32. Scaccabarozzi J. 14. Spinelli A. 12. Veliaj G. (G) 45. Zagre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Manetti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Menarini F. 🟨,
54', Franzolini A. ↓, Pellizzari S. ↑,
54', Ilari C. ↓, Macri D. ↑,
64', Machin J. ↓, Paganini L. ↑,
69', Selvini A. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Macri D. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, Ceccacci M. ⚽,
76', Giovannini R. ↓, Barranco G. ↑,
83', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
83', Durmush M. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
84', Farinelli N. ↓, Zagre A. ↑,
84', Cavallini G. ↓, Onofri M. ↑,
88', Mariani E. 🟨,
90+4', Vezzoni F. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 13).

Vis Pesaro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Forlì is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Forlì may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vis Pesaro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Forli	8	2	4	2	13:12	1	10
20	Vis Pesaro	8	1	1	6	10:19	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
31.01.26	Pianese - Vis Pesaro	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Livorno - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Vis Pesaro - Pineto	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Sambenedettese - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW
- Forli FC
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Gubbio - Forlì	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Forlì - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Ravenna - Forlì	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Forlì - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perugia - Forlì	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.09.25	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	3:1

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