Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 18

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Corinthians		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.7
	2	3.1	4.05
	2.04	3.21	4.38
	3.81	3.27	2.02	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.5
	2.05	3.2	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.74)	3.18 ↓ (3.41)	3.86 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Corinthians
43.5%

Draw
31%

Fortaleza
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.4%	7.6%	0%

Corinthians - Fortaleza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Fortaleza (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Corinthians (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Corinthians (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Fortaleza (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Corinthians will win (61 of 66 users predict this - 92.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.03% – 98.81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (38 of 42 users predict this - 90.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 47 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 41 - 87.2%). Fortaleza (votes: 4 - 8.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 3. Torres F. 5. Andre Ramalho 25. Caca 26. Angileri F. 37. Ryan 35. Charles Rigon 27. Breno Bidon 61. Dieguinho 11. Angel Romero (C) 43. Talles Magno	25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 14. Mancuso E. 13. Kuscevic B. (C) 39. Gustavo Mancha 16. Diogo Barbosa 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Pereira M. 38. Lucca Prior 11. Marinho 18. Deyverson 26. Breno Lopes
Substitutes
54. Bahia 19. Carrillo A. 10. Depay M. 40. Felipe Longo (G) 8. Garro R. 13. Gustavo Henrique 57. Kaue Junior 31. Kayke 21. Matheus Bidu 2. Matheuzinho 14. Raniele 9. Yuri Alberto	77. Andrade K. 3. Avila G. 6. Bruno Pacheco 8. Emmanuel Martinez 80. Herrera J. 9. Lucero J. 12. Magrao (G) 20. Matheus Rossetto 2. Tinga 36. Weverson 22. Yago Pikachu 17. Ze Welison
Coaches
Dorival Junior	Alves R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Breno Lopes ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
25', Lucca Prior 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Talles Magno ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
46', Angel Romero ↓, Depay M. ↑,
46', Ryan ↓, Garro R. ↑,
46', Torres F. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
57', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
64', Dieguinho ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
65', Lucca Prior ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
65', Mancuso E. ↓, Tinga ↑,
77', Marinho ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
77', Breno Lopes ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
83', Ze Welison 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Carrillo A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2.

Corinthians has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fortaleza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Corinthians could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Hernia) Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards) Maycon (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno (Finger Injury) Britez E. (Inactive) David Luiz (Thigh Injury) Joao Ricardo (Finger Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pochettino T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Bruninho (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.34%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	São Paulo - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Ceará - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTTLW
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.25	Grêmio - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Fortaleza - Bahia	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Bahia - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
24.09.24	Corinthians - Fortaleza	3:0
17.09.24	Fortaleza - Corinthians	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
25.08.24	Fortaleza - Corinthians	1:0
04.05.24	Corinthians - Fortaleza	0:0
Copa Sudamericana
03.10.23	Fortaleza - Corinthians	2:0
26.09.23	Corinthians - Fortaleza	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.23	Fortaleza - Corinthians	2:1

Upcoming Matches