The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fortaleza 48.4%
Draw 29.7%
Ceará 21.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
25.9%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
25.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza's form might have worsened.
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Fortaleza - Ceará Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Ceará will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Ceará (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceará (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (C) 22. Mailton 3. Lucas Gazal 6. Cardona T. 12. Henrique Kaio 11. Vitinho 5. Pierre 29. Rodrigo 75. Rodriguinho 32. Luiz Fernando 16. Pedro Henrique
1. Richard (G) 18. Julio Cesar 4. Luiz Otavio 13. Luiz Otavio (C) 12. Sanchez 81. Joao Gabriel 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 40. Melk 60. Enzo Lodovico 11. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 73. Saulo Mineiro
Substitutes
10. Lucas Crispim 19. Lucas Emanoel 38. Lucca Prior 13. Mauricio Junior 9. Miritello J. B. 17. Nathan Fogaca 23. Neris 77. Paulo Baya 8. Ronald 37. Ryan 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 31. Welliton
23. Caique Franca (G) 77. Lenny Lobato 7. Lopez R. 10. Lucas Mugni 99. Lucca 8. Matheus Araujo 2. Ramos R. 16. Rian Santana 26. Richardson 6. Savio 29. Vina 45. Vini Uchella
Coaches
Autuori P.
Daniel Paulista
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Vinicius Zanocelo 🟨,
20', Rodrigo 🟨,
28', Pedro Henrique ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
35', Pierre 🟨,
41', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Vina ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Rian Santana ↑,
65', Vitinho ↓, Chico ↑,
68', Rian Santana 🟨,
76', Sanchez ↓, Savio ↑,
76', Julio Cesar ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
76', Saulo Mineiro ↓, Lucca ↑,
80', Pierre ↓, Ronald ↑,
80', Luiz Fernando ↓, Ryan ↑,
80', Henrique Kaio ↓, Mauricio Junior ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Melk ⚽, Matheus Araujo (A),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
Fortaleza is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ceará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.
There will not play in Fortaleza: Fuentes G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Ceará: Bryan Borges
(Yellow Cards)
Eder
(Muscle Injury)
Gabriel Rocha
(Injury)
Gilmar
(Injury)
Lopez R.
(Inactive)
Matheus Nogueira
(Inactive)
Thalisson
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
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Joao Ricardo (C) 
Cardona T. 
Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 
Ramos R. 
