Match Info

Date: 5 May 2022, Thursday


	Fortaleza		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.3
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3	3.3	2.25
	2.95	3.25	2.33
	3.13	3.38	2.39
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.16	3.6	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3.03)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
31%

Draw
28.2%

River Plate Montevideo
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

27.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	22.2%	61.1%

Fortaleza - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 6 - 16.7%). River Plate will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 45.2% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Fortaleza is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

River Plate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
01.05.22	Corinthians - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Fortaleza - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
24.04.22	Fortaleza - Caucaia	4:0 ✺
22.04.22	Caucaia - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.04.22	Fortaleza - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWTW
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
03.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Colo-Colo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Cuiabá - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.04.22	River Plate Montevideo - Fortaleza	2:0

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