Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cota (Cota)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Fortaleza CEIF		Jaguares de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.75
	1.55	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.56	4	6.44
	1.49	4.11	6.63	Watch
	1.53	3.7	6
	1.54	3.8	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	3.8 ↑ (3.71)	6.17 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
60.2%

Draw
24.6%

Jaguares de Córdoba
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

25.2%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

25.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fortaleza CEIF will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 7. Martinez J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 3. Ramirez D. 14. Pico L. (C) 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 10. Velasquez J. 33. Arroyo A. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 19. Pulicastro F.	1. Martinez D. (C) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 4. Mosquera Y. 29. Henao C. 20. Castano M. 8. Rodriguez Urango D. 13. Hinestroza J. 5. Colpa Bolano R. R. 18. Lenis K. 11. Renteria A. 19. Moreno Y.
Substitutes
11. Amaya A. 16. Cajares J. 15. Cuero S. 9. Herrera J. 5. Medina Obando J. 8. Navarro S. 12. Santander C. (G) 23. Sinisterra J. 31. Vivas S.	7. De La Rosa W. 25. Jimenez L. 10. Jopito 12. Mosquera F. (G) 23. Mosquera F. 22. Ordonez C. 17. Viveros J.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Florentin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ramirez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Renteria A. ⚽, Rodriguez Urango D. (A),
51', Pico L. 🟨,
52', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Balanta Carabali K. A. (A),
58', Ramirez D. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
58', Velasquez J. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
64', Henao C. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
64', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, De La Rosa W. ↑,
68', Pulicastro F. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
68', Moreno Y. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
69', Ordonez C. 🟨,
72', Lenis K. ↓, Jimenez L. ↑,
81', Martinez J. ↓, Cajares J. ↑,
81', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
81', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Jopito ↑,
85', Balanta J. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Cuero S. (A),
90+5', Amaya A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
90+6', Mosquera Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Jaguares de Córdoba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	11	1	4	6	11:20	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLT
- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	América de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
12.02.26	Boyacá Chicó - Jaguares de Córdoba	5:0 ✺
08.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
07.10.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1
23.03.24	Jaguares de Córdoba - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1

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