Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Indonesia	03:00	Kompas TV, Vidio
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, ESPN 2
Suriname	17:00	QN Sports


	Fortuna Sittard		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.45
	3.05	3.45	2.32
	3.14	3.48	2.34
	3.02	3.4	2.34	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	3.29	3.53	2.26	Watch
	3	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.16)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.32 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
31.4%

Draw
27.7%

Sparta Rotterdam
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.

Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Rotterdam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Rotterdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	19%	61.9%

Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fortuna Sittard (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sparta Rotterdam (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sparta Rotterdam will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 10%). Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koopmans L. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 21. Kasanwirjo N. 44. Marquez I. 28. Hubner J. 20. Michut E. 23. Brittijn P. 52. Ihattaren M. 70. Duijvestijn L. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K.	1. Drommel J. (G) 2. Martes L. 3. Young M. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 5. Quintero T. 8. Clement P. 6. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 10. Santos A. 11. Mito S. 9. Lauritsen T.
Substitutes
22. Bastien S. 19. Gladon P. 10. Halilovic A. 18. Limnios D. 25. Martens N. (G) 5. Oukili Y. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 6. van Ottele S. 48. van Parys L. (G)	16. Baas J. 17. Bakari S. 20. Bednarek F. (G) 13. de Guzman J. 15. Kleijn M. 30. Kuiper P. (G) 21. Roaldsoy A. 12. Sambo S. 22. Terho C. 18. Toornstra J. 14. van Aanholt P. 19. Zonneveld M.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Duijvestijn L. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', Peterson K. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Lauritsen T. ⚽,
69', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Limnios D. ↑,
69', Pinto I. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
78', van Bergen M. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
78', Santos A. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
83', Hubner J. 🟨,
85', Ihattaren M. 🟨,
86', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
87', Terho C. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Oukili Y. ⚽, Kasanwirjo N. (A),
90+6', Oukili Y. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Terho C. ⚽, Mito S. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.

Fortuna Sittard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S. (Yellow Cards) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Dahlhaus J. (Inactive) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: van Crooij V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Duijvestijn L. (Inactive) Lonwijk J. (Inactive) Tunjic L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sittard	10	5	3	2	17:17	0	18
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	17:24	-7	9

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Sittard: 0.21% Sparta Rotterdam: 0.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Fortuna Sittard - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWLTW
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Feyenoord - Sparta Rotterdam	3:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.26	Sparta Rotterdam - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
29.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3
28.09.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
30.03.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	4:0
13.01.24	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:2
03.02.23	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0
29.10.22	Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna Sittard	3:1

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